**Trader consensus heavily favors "No Meeting by September 30" at 73% because the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding, which launched a 60-day negotiation window, has expired amid mutual accusations of violations and stalled progress on core issues.** The MOU addressed reopening the Strait of Hormuz, ending related hostilities including in Lebanon, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, but follow-up diplomatic efforts—including rounds in Switzerland and technical discussions—failed to produce a breakthrough by the deadline. Iranian officials have stated that conditions are not yet in place for effective direct talks, with engagement limited to messages through intermediaries, while US statements describe the process as semi-active at best. **Prior rounds occurred in Islamabad (April) and Switzerland (June), with mediators such as Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman playing roles, yet recent developments show Iran prioritizing a separate Hormuz arrangement with Oman over broader US negotiations.** This impasse, combined with persistent disputes over inspections, sanctions, and waterway access, has kept momentum low. Switzerland and Pakistan retain modest probabilities as past hosts with established mediation channels, while Oman and Qatar appear due to their ongoing or recent involvement in related diplomacy. The market reflects trader assessment that scheduled or ad-hoc talks are unlikely before the September 30 cutoff absent a major de-escalatory catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 30 73.3%
Switzerland 11%
Pakistan 5.9%
Qatar 6%
$4,872,304 Обс.
$4,872,304 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
No Meeting by September 30
73%
Switzerland
11%
Pakistan
6%
Qatar
6%
Oman
2%
Turkey
1%
Egypt
1%
Other - Europe
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Italy
<1%
Other
<1%
USA
<1%
Austria
<1%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
UAE
<1%
Iran
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Russia
<1%
No Meeting by September 30 73.3%
Switzerland 11%
Pakistan 5.9%
Qatar 6%
$4,872,304 Обс.
$4,872,304 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
No Meeting by September 30
$818,446 Обс.
73%
Switzerland
$486,465 Обс.
11%
Pakistan
$282,900 Обс.
6%
Qatar
$644,168 Обс.
6%
Oman
$372,635 Обс.
2%
Turkey
$76,357 Обс.
1%
Egypt
$73,657 Обс.
1%
Other - Europe
$81,982 Обс.
<1%
Iraq
$101,220 Обс.
<1%
Italy
$136,840 Обс.
<1%
Other
$606,012 Обс.
<1%
USA
$67,546 Обс.
<1%
Austria
$274,932 Обс.
<1%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
$108,756 Обс.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$84,279 Обс.
<1%
UAE
$88,823 Обс.
<1%
Iran
$194,607 Обс.
<1%
Kazakhstan
$183,416 Обс.
<1%
Russia
$189,263 Обс.
<1%
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
**Trader consensus heavily favors "No Meeting by September 30" at 73% because the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding, which launched a 60-day negotiation window, has expired amid mutual accusations of violations and stalled progress on core issues.** The MOU addressed reopening the Strait of Hormuz, ending related hostilities including in Lebanon, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, but follow-up diplomatic efforts—including rounds in Switzerland and technical discussions—failed to produce a breakthrough by the deadline. Iranian officials have stated that conditions are not yet in place for effective direct talks, with engagement limited to messages through intermediaries, while US statements describe the process as semi-active at best.
**Prior rounds occurred in Islamabad (April) and Switzerland (June), with mediators such as Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman playing roles, yet recent developments show Iran prioritizing a separate Hormuz arrangement with Oman over broader US negotiations.** This impasse, combined with persistent disputes over inspections, sanctions, and waterway access, has kept momentum low. Switzerland and Pakistan retain modest probabilities as past hosts with established mediation channels, while Oman and Qatar appear due to their ongoing or recent involvement in related diplomacy. The market reflects trader assessment that scheduled or ad-hoc talks are unlikely before the September 30 cutoff absent a major de-escalatory catalyst.
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 22, 2026, 10:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,872,304Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 22, 2026, 10:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
**Trader consensus heavily favors "No Meeting by September 30" at 73% because the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding, which launched a 60-day negotiation window, has expired amid mutual accusations of violations and stalled progress on core issues.** The MOU addressed reopening the Strait of Hormuz, ending related hostilities including in Lebanon, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, but follow-up diplomatic efforts—including rounds in Switzerland and technical discussions—failed to produce a breakthrough by the deadline. Iranian officials have stated that conditions are not yet in place for effective direct talks, with engagement limited to messages through intermediaries, while US statements describe the process as semi-active at best.
**Prior rounds occurred in Islamabad (April) and Switzerland (June), with mediators such as Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman playing roles, yet recent developments show Iran prioritizing a separate Hormuz arrangement with Oman over broader US negotiations.** This impasse, combined with persistent disputes over inspections, sanctions, and waterway access, has kept momentum low. Switzerland and Pakistan retain modest probabilities as past hosts with established mediation channels, while Oman and Qatar appear due to their ongoing or recent involvement in related diplomacy. The market reflects trader assessment that scheduled or ad-hoc talks are unlikely before the September 30 cutoff absent a major de-escalatory catalyst.
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$4,872,304Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 22, 2026, 10:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors "No Meeting by September 30" at 73% because the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding, which launched a 60-day negotiation window, has expired amid mutual accusations of violations and stalled progress on core issues.** The MOU addressed reopening the Strait of Hormuz, ending related hostilities including in Lebanon, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program, but follow-up diplomatic efforts—including rounds in Switzerland and technical discussions—failed to produce a breakthrough by the deadline. Iranian officials have stated that conditions are not yet in place for effective direct talks, with engagement limited to messages through intermediaries, while US statements describe the process as semi-active at best. **Prior rounds occurred in Islamabad (April) and Switzerland (June), with mediators such as Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman playing roles, yet recent developments show Iran prioritizing a separate Hormuz arrangement with Oman over broader US negotiations.** This impasse, combined with persistent disputes over inspections, sanctions, and waterway access, has kept momentum low. Switzerland and Pakistan retain modest probabilities as past hosts with established mediation channels, while Oman and Qatar appear due to their ongoing or recent involvement in related diplomacy. The market reflects trader assessment that scheduled or ad-hoc talks are unlikely before the September 30 cutoff absent a major de-escalatory catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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