Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects recent polls placing the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, on the cusp of an absolute majority in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament, needing 55 seats, with projections hovering at 54-58 amid tight margins of error. Latest GAD3 and Sigma Dos surveys from mid-April show PP at 42-44% support yielding 55-58 seats, bolstered by PSOE's collapse to historic lows of 23-29 seats under María Jesús Montero amid internal scandals, while Vox's steady 13-16% (13-19 seats) splits the conservative vote, preventing a decisive PP surge. With campaigning underway ahead of the May 17 vote, momentum could tip toward Yes via Moreno's strong incumbency and regional economic management, or toward No if Vox surges, left turnout rises, or final polls narrow the gap further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects recent polls placing the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, on the cusp of an absolute majority in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament, needing 55 seats, with projections hovering at 54-58 amid tight margins of error. Latest GAD3 and Sigma Dos surveys from mid-April show PP at 42-44% support yielding 55-58 seats, bolstered by PSOE's collapse to historic lows of 23-29 seats under María Jesús Montero amid internal scandals, while Vox's steady 13-16% (13-19 seats) splits the conservative vote, preventing a decisive PP surge. With campaigning underway ahead of the May 17 vote, momentum could tip toward Yes via Moreno's strong incumbency and regional economic management, or toward No if Vox surges, left turnout rises, or final polls narrow the gap further.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Обсяг
$78Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects recent polls placing the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, on the cusp of an absolute majority in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament, needing 55 seats, with projections hovering at 54-58 amid tight margins of error. Latest GAD3 and Sigma Dos surveys from mid-April show PP at 42-44% support yielding 55-58 seats, bolstered by PSOE's collapse to historic lows of 23-29 seats under María Jesús Montero amid internal scandals, while Vox's steady 13-16% (13-19 seats) splits the conservative vote, preventing a decisive PP surge. With campaigning underway ahead of the May 17 vote, momentum could tip toward Yes via Moreno's strong incumbency and regional economic management, or toward No if Vox surges, left turnout rises, or final polls narrow the gap further.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Обсяг
$78Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects recent polls placing the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, on the cusp of an absolute majority in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament, needing 55 seats, with projections hovering at 54-58 amid tight margins of error. Latest GAD3 and Sigma Dos surveys from mid-April show PP at 42-44% support yielding 55-58 seats, bolstered by PSOE's collapse to historic lows of 23-29 seats under María Jesús Montero amid internal scandals, while Vox's steady 13-16% (13-19 seats) splits the conservative vote, preventing a decisive PP surge. With campaigning underway ahead of the May 17 vote, momentum could tip toward Yes via Moreno's strong incumbency and regional economic management, or toward No if Vox surges, left turnout rises, or final polls narrow the gap further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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