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Політика·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Shri Thanedar 52%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Shelby Campbell 4.0%

Nazmul Hassan 3.5%

Polymarket

$22,505 Обс.

Shri Thanedar 52%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Shelby Campbell 4.0%

Nazmul Hassan 3.5%

Polymarket

$22,505 Обс.

Shri Thanedar

$1,074 Обс.

52%

Donavan McKinney

$20,247 Обс.

38%

Shelby Campbell

$442 Обс.

4%

Nazmul Hassan

$388 Обс.

4%

Anthony Carbonaro

$404 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his massive financial advantage, reporting $6.4 million cash on hand in the latest April FEC filing after self-funding millions in prior races, bolstering incumbency in the solidly blue Detroit-area district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 37.5%, buoyed by endorsements from Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, local Black leaders seeking restored Detroit representation, and progressive groups criticizing Thanedar's constituent services and policy flips. With no public polls, the closely contested odds reflect money versus grassroots momentum ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where turnout among key voting blocs could tip the balance. Lesser-known candidates like Shelby Campbell and Nazmul Hassan linger below 5%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,505
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his massive financial advantage, reporting $6.4 million cash on hand in the latest April FEC filing after self-funding millions in prior races, bolstering incumbency in the solidly blue Detroit-area district. Challenger state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 37.5%, buoyed by endorsements from Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, local Black leaders seeking restored Detroit representation, and progressive groups criticizing Thanedar's constituent services and policy flips. With no public polls, the closely contested odds reflect money versus grassroots momentum ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary, where turnout among key voting blocs could tip the balance. Lesser-known candidates like Shelby Campbell and Nazmul Hassan linger below 5%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,505
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Shri Thanedar» з 52%, далі «Donavan McKinney» з 38%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $22.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 19, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Shri Thanedar» з 52%. Наступний — «Donavan McKinney» з 38%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.