If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
«Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Troy Jackson» з 100%, далі «Graham Platner» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» згенерував $904.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» — «Troy Jackson» з 100%. Наступний — «Graham Platner» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
Правила вирішення для «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.
Так. Вам не потрібно торгувати, щоб бути в курсі. Ця сторінка служить трекером наживо для «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?». Ймовірності результатів оновлюються в реальному часі з новими угодами. Збережіть сторінку та перегляньте коментарі інших трейдерів.
Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $904.3K торгового обсягу на «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
Щоб зробити першу угоду на «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?», зареєструйте безкоштовний акаунт на Polymarket та поповніть його криптою, кредитною чи дебетовою карткою або банківським переказом. Після поповнення поверніться на цю сторінку, оберіть результат, введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви новачок на ринках прогнозів, натисніть «Як це працює» вгорі будь-якої сторінки Polymarket.
На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 100¢ для «Troy Jackson» на ринку «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 100%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 100¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 0¢ за акцію.
Ринок «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» вирішено. Фінальний результат визначено і ринок більше не відкритий для торгівлі. Ви можете переглянути історичні шанси та коментарі на цій сторінці.
Ринок «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?» має зростаюча дискусія з 4 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти на знаннях реальних подій. Трейдери купують і продають акції на результати тем від політики та виборів до крипто, фінансів, спорту, технологій та культури, включаючи ринки, як «Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі.
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