Oregon's long-standing Democratic dominance in statewide contests, reinforced by incumbent Governor Tina Kotek's reelection bid, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 86.5 percent. Recent polling averages show Kotek holding or tying her likely Republican opponent in head-to-head matchups, while the Republican primary on May 19 remains fragmented among multiple candidates including Christine Drazan. Oregon's electoral history, with no Republican governor since the 1980s, further limits upside for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOregon Governor Election Winner
Oregon Governor Election Winner
$15,439 ปริมาณ
$15,439 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
87%
Republican
12%
$15,439 ปริมาณ
$15,439 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$8,833 ปริมาณ
87%
Republican
$6,605 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oregon's long-standing Democratic dominance in statewide contests, reinforced by incumbent Governor Tina Kotek's reelection bid, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 86.5 percent. Recent polling averages show Kotek holding or tying her likely Republican opponent in head-to-head matchups, while the Republican primary on May 19 remains fragmented among multiple candidates including Christine Drazan. Oregon's electoral history, with no Republican governor since the 1980s, further limits upside for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,439วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oregon's long-standing Democratic dominance in statewide contests, reinforced by incumbent Governor Tina Kotek's reelection bid, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 86.5 percent. Recent polling averages show Kotek holding or tying her likely Republican opponent in head-to-head matchups, while the Republican primary on May 19 remains fragmented among multiple candidates including Christine Drazan. Oregon's electoral history, with no Republican governor since the 1980s, further limits upside for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,439วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's long-standing Democratic dominance in statewide contests, reinforced by incumbent Governor Tina Kotek's reelection bid, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 86.5 percent. Recent polling averages show Kotek holding or tying her likely Republican opponent in head-to-head matchups, while the Republican primary on May 19 remains fragmented among multiple candidates including Christine Drazan. Oregon's electoral history, with no Republican governor since the 1980s, further limits upside for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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