Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$20,755 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
9%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Sharon Brown
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
3%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
$20,755 ปริมาณ
Mike Thompson
$6,502 ปริมาณ
99%
Eric Jones
$4,052 ปริมาณ
95%
Trevor Merrell
$6,288 ปริมาณ
15%
Heath Fulkerson
$252 ปริมาณ
9%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 ปริมาณ
6%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 ปริมาณ
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 ปริมาณ
3%
John Wesley Tyler
$618 ปริมาณ
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,755วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,755วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader consensus to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, reflecting their fundraising dominance—Thompson with $2.6 million cash on hand and Jones $1.5 million as of March 31 filings—dwarfing Republican rivals. The Democratic Party of California endorsed Thompson, while Our Revolution backed Jones, in a D+17 district where the top-two system typically sends two Democrats to the November general amid narrower post-2025 redistricting margins. No public polls exist, but low Republican cash signals barriers; early ballots mail soon, with voter turnout key in wine country North Bay battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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