Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$23,087 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
91%
Heath Fulkerson
12%
Trevor Merrell
12%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Sharon Brown
7%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
$23,087 ปริมาณ
Mike Thompson
$7,050 ปริมาณ
97%
Eric Jones
$4,785 ปริมาณ
91%
Heath Fulkerson
$396 ปริมาณ
12%
Trevor Merrell
$7,016 ปริมาณ
12%
John Wesley Tyler
$765 ปริมาณ
8%
Sharon Brown
$1,621 ปริมาณ
7%
Mandy Ghusar
$744 ปริมาณ
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 ปริมาณ
5%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,087วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,087วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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