Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2023—has elevated expectations for May, with professional forecasters and models like the Cleveland Fed pointing to a 4.2% print driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical oil shocks and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes commanding 45.0% and 39.5% implied probabilities respectively, reflects this momentum while acknowledging uncertainty around the June 10 release. Key swing factors include the trajectory of gasoline and core goods prices, alongside any revisions to prior months, as markets weigh upside risks from supply disruptions against potential moderation in monthly momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Annual
May Inflation US - Annual
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
4.1% 7.6%
≥4.4% 7%
$396,074 ปริมาณ
$396,074 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
≥4.4%
7%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
4.1% 7.6%
≥4.4% 7%
$396,074 ปริมาณ
$396,074 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$19,520 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.4%
$18,921 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.5%
$36,748 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.6%
$24,418 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.7%
$23,967 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.8%
$23,949 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.9%
$29,419 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0%
$28,378 ปริมาณ
1%
4.1%
$32,261 ปริมาณ
8%
4.2%
$49,591 ปริมาณ
45%
4.3%
$66,381 ปริมาณ
40%
≥4.4%
$42,558 ปริมาณ
7%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2023—has elevated expectations for May, with professional forecasters and models like the Cleveland Fed pointing to a 4.2% print driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical oil shocks and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes commanding 45.0% and 39.5% implied probabilities respectively, reflects this momentum while acknowledging uncertainty around the June 10 release. Key swing factors include the trajectory of gasoline and core goods prices, alongside any revisions to prior months, as markets weigh upside risks from supply disruptions against potential moderation in monthly momentum.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$396,074วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2023—has elevated expectations for May, with professional forecasters and models like the Cleveland Fed pointing to a 4.2% print driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical oil shocks and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes commanding 45.0% and 39.5% implied probabilities respectively, reflects this momentum while acknowledging uncertainty around the June 10 release. Key swing factors include the trajectory of gasoline and core goods prices, alongside any revisions to prior months, as markets weigh upside risks from supply disruptions against potential moderation in monthly momentum.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$396,074วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2023—has elevated expectations for May, with professional forecasters and models like the Cleveland Fed pointing to a 4.2% print driven by energy price spikes from geopolitical oil shocks and persistent shelter costs. Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes commanding 45.0% and 39.5% implied probabilities respectively, reflects this momentum while acknowledging uncertainty around the June 10 release. Key swing factors include the trajectory of gasoline and core goods prices, alongside any revisions to prior months, as markets weigh upside risks from supply disruptions against potential moderation in monthly momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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