The Federal Reserve’s entrenched statutory role under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, combined with its ongoing conduct of monetary policy through the federal funds rate and FOMC communications, anchors the 95.8% market-implied probability against abolition before 2027. Bills such as the 2025 Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (H.R. 1846) remain stalled in committee with negligible legislative support, reflecting broad institutional consensus on the central bank’s necessity for managing inflation trajectories and labor-market conditions. No recent economic data releases or policy shifts signal structural change. Tail-risk scenarios, including an acute systemic crisis or unprecedented political realignment capable of overriding bicameral requirements, remain low-probability events given historical precedent and the multi-year timeline for repeal.