Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.1% implied probability against Federal Reserve abolition before 2027, reflecting insurmountable legislative hurdles: repeal of the 1913 Federal Reserve Act demands supermajority congressional support amid entrenched bipartisan backing for central bank independence. Recent catalysts reinforcing this positioning include Chair Jerome Powell's May 10 confirmation to remain on the Board post his May 15 term expiration, and nominee Kevin Warsh's advancing Senate confirmation focused on shrinking the Fed's $6.7 trillion balance sheet, curtailing forward guidance, and prioritizing price stability—not dissolution. Absent a tail-risk black swan like systemic crisis or radical populist realignment yielding unlikely repeal momentum, the institution's continuity aligns with historical precedents of reform over elimination. Watch Warsh confirmation and June FOMC for policy signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFed abolished before 2027?
Fed abolished before 2027?
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.1% implied probability against Federal Reserve abolition before 2027, reflecting insurmountable legislative hurdles: repeal of the 1913 Federal Reserve Act demands supermajority congressional support amid entrenched bipartisan backing for central bank independence. Recent catalysts reinforcing this positioning include Chair Jerome Powell's May 10 confirmation to remain on the Board post his May 15 term expiration, and nominee Kevin Warsh's advancing Senate confirmation focused on shrinking the Fed's $6.7 trillion balance sheet, curtailing forward guidance, and prioritizing price stability—not dissolution. Absent a tail-risk black swan like systemic crisis or radical populist realignment yielding unlikely repeal momentum, the institution's continuity aligns with historical precedents of reform over elimination. Watch Warsh confirmation and June FOMC for policy signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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