Trump's renewed push since early 2025 for U.S. control of Greenland—an autonomous Danish territory—has involved tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or expanded security arrangements, yet Denmark and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent developments, including January 2026 Davos talks yielding only a non-binding "framework" for Arctic cooperation and renewed statements at the July 2026 NATO summit, have produced no binding agreement or ownership change despite U.S. national security arguments. The brief window remaining before 2027, combined with NATO alliance constraints, Greenland's self-determination stance, and the need for Danish parliamentary approval plus potential congressional action, underpins traders' 96.4% consensus against acquisition. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a surprise bilateral compact granting substantial U.S. basing rights short of title transfer or an unforeseen diplomatic concession by Copenhagen.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
4% โอกาส
$35,251,553 ปริมาณ
$35,251,553 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
4% โอกาส
$35,251,553 ปริมาณ
$35,251,553 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push since early 2025 for U.S. control of Greenland—an autonomous Danish territory—has involved tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or expanded security arrangements, yet Denmark and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent developments, including January 2026 Davos talks yielding only a non-binding "framework" for Arctic cooperation and renewed statements at the July 2026 NATO summit, have produced no binding agreement or ownership change despite U.S. national security arguments. The brief window remaining before 2027, combined with NATO alliance constraints, Greenland's self-determination stance, and the need for Danish parliamentary approval plus potential congressional action, underpins traders' 96.4% consensus against acquisition. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a surprise bilateral compact granting substantial U.S. basing rights short of title transfer or an unforeseen diplomatic concession by Copenhagen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,251,553วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push since early 2025 for U.S. control of Greenland—an autonomous Danish territory—has involved tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or expanded security arrangements, yet Denmark and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent developments, including January 2026 Davos talks yielding only a non-binding "framework" for Arctic cooperation and renewed statements at the July 2026 NATO summit, have produced no binding agreement or ownership change despite U.S. national security arguments. The brief window remaining before 2027, combined with NATO alliance constraints, Greenland's self-determination stance, and the need for Danish parliamentary approval plus potential congressional action, underpins traders' 96.4% consensus against acquisition. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a surprise bilateral compact granting substantial U.S. basing rights short of title transfer or an unforeseen diplomatic concession by Copenhagen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,251,553วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's renewed push since early 2025 for U.S. control of Greenland—an autonomous Danish territory—has involved tariff threats, envoy appointments, and discussions of purchase or expanded security arrangements, yet Denmark and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent developments, including January 2026 Davos talks yielding only a non-binding "framework" for Arctic cooperation and renewed statements at the July 2026 NATO summit, have produced no binding agreement or ownership change despite U.S. national security arguments. The brief window remaining before 2027, combined with NATO alliance constraints, Greenland's self-determination stance, and the need for Danish parliamentary approval plus potential congressional action, underpins traders' 96.4% consensus against acquisition. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a surprise bilateral compact granting substantial U.S. basing rights short of title transfer or an unforeseen diplomatic concession by Copenhagen.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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