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Политика·Торговая война

Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?

Market icon
Политика·Торговая война

Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$29,064 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$29,064 Объем

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Объем
$29,064
Дата окончания
7 мар. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Объем
$29,064
Дата окончания
7 мар. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

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На сегодняшний день «Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $29.1K с момента запуска рынка Mar 3, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.