Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the exchange's March 30 announcement of a "fast entry" rule—effective May 1—allowing large-cap IPOs like SpaceX to join the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 trading days if ranking in the top 40 by market cap, bypassing the prior three-month wait. This directly meets SpaceX's reported precondition for the listing, as confirmed by sources close to the company planning a potential June public debut valued near $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq further reinforces this positioning. Realistic challenges include NYSE counteroffers with superior liquidity or index benefits, though none have materialized amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship development and NASA partnerships sustaining high valuations. Upcoming IPO filings and exchange negotiations could refine odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 93%
Other 5%
NYSE 2.1%
$70,790 Объем
$70,790 Объем
NASDAQ
93%
Other
5%
NYSE
2%
NASDAQ 93%
Other 5%
NYSE 2.1%
$70,790 Объем
$70,790 Объем
NASDAQ
$14,576 Объем
93%
Other
$45,639 Объем
5%
NYSE
$10,576 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the exchange's March 30 announcement of a "fast entry" rule—effective May 1—allowing large-cap IPOs like SpaceX to join the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 trading days if ranking in the top 40 by market cap, bypassing the prior three-month wait. This directly meets SpaceX's reported precondition for the listing, as confirmed by sources close to the company planning a potential June public debut valued near $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq further reinforces this positioning. Realistic challenges include NYSE counteroffers with superior liquidity or index benefits, though none have materialized amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship development and NASA partnerships sustaining high valuations. Upcoming IPO filings and exchange negotiations could refine odds.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$70,790Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the exchange's March 30 announcement of a "fast entry" rule—effective May 1—allowing large-cap IPOs like SpaceX to join the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 trading days if ranking in the top 40 by market cap, bypassing the prior three-month wait. This directly meets SpaceX's reported precondition for the listing, as confirmed by sources close to the company planning a potential June public debut valued near $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq further reinforces this positioning. Realistic challenges include NYSE counteroffers with superior liquidity or index benefits, though none have materialized amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship development and NASA partnerships sustaining high valuations. Upcoming IPO filings and exchange negotiations could refine odds.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$70,790Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 93% implied probability, driven by the exchange's March 30 announcement of a "fast entry" rule—effective May 1—allowing large-cap IPOs like SpaceX to join the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 trading days if ranking in the top 40 by market cap, bypassing the prior three-month wait. This directly meets SpaceX's reported precondition for the listing, as confirmed by sources close to the company planning a potential June public debut valued near $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq further reinforces this positioning. Realistic challenges include NYSE counteroffers with superior liquidity or index benefits, though none have materialized amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship development and NASA partnerships sustaining high valuations. Upcoming IPO filings and exchange negotiations could refine odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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