OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоУ какой компании будет лучшая модель ИИ для кодирования 31 марта?
У какой компании будет лучшая модель ИИ для кодирования 31 марта?
OpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Объем
$1,351,043 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
Нет
OpenAI
Да
Z.ai
Нет
DeepSeek
Нет
Mistral
Нет
Anthropic
Нет
Alibaba
Нет
xAI
Нет
Moonshot
Нет
OpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Объем
$1,351,043 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
$124,134 Объем
Нет
OpenAI
$193,398 Объем
Да
Z.ai
$125,315 Объем
Нет
DeepSeek
$217,171 Объем
Нет
Mistral
$161,221 Объем
Нет
Anthropic
$210,114 Объем
Нет
Alibaba
$79,517 Объем
Нет
xAI
$149,261 Объем
Нет
Moonshot
$90,912 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,351,043Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,351,043Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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