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Геополитика·Трамп

Войска США входят в Иран через..?

Market icon
Геополитика·Трамп

Войска США входят в Иран через..?

$53,888,232 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$53,888,232 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$36,761,649 Объем

6%

30 апреля

$9,154,125 Объем

68%

31 декабря

$5,899,424 Объем

76%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US military buildup in the Middle East has surged past 50,000 troops amid the ongoing US-Israeli air campaign against Iran—Operation Epic Fury—now in its second month since late February strikes. Recent arrivals include 2,500 Marines via the USS Tripoli, another 2,500 sailors, and elements of the 82nd Airborne Division, with Pentagon reports indicating preparations for limited ground operations such as Special Operations raids and infantry actions targeting coastal sites like Kharg Island or the Strait of Hormuz. No US forces have entered Iran, but Iranian missile strikes on Saudi's Prince Sultan Air Base wounded 12-15 US troops last week, prompting Tehran's vows to "destroy" any invaders. Diplomatic efforts continue, with Iran reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, while regional talks loom in Pakistan this weekend; trader consensus reflects escalation risks balanced against de-escalation signals.

US military buildup in the Middle East has surged past 50,000 troops amid the ongoing US-Israeli air campaign against Iran—Operation Epic Fury—now in its second month since late February strikes. Recent arrivals include 2,500 Marines via the USS Tripoli, another 2,500 sailors, and elements of the 82nd Airborne Division, with Pentagon reports indicating preparations for limited ground operations such as Special Operations raids and infantry actions targeting coastal sites like Kharg Island or the Strait of Hormuz. No US forces have entered Iran, but Iranian missile strikes on Saudi's Prince Sultan Air Base wounded 12-15 US troops last week, prompting Tehran's vows to "destroy" any invaders. Diplomatic efforts continue, with Iran reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, while regional talks loom in Pakistan this weekend; trader consensus reflects escalation risks balanced against de-escalation signals.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US military buildup in the Middle East has surged past 50,000 troops amid the ongoing US-Israeli air campaign against Iran—Operation Epic Fury—now in its second month since late February strikes. Recent arrivals include 2,500 Marines via the USS Tripoli, another 2,500 sailors, and elements of the 82nd Airborne Division, with Pentagon reports indicating preparations for limited ground operations such as Special Operations raids and infantry actions targeting coastal sites like Kharg Island or the Strait of Hormuz. No US forces have entered Iran, but Iranian missile strikes on Saudi's Prince Sultan Air Base wounded 12-15 US troops last week, prompting Tehran's vows to "destroy" any invaders. Diplomatic efforts continue, with Iran reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, while regional talks loom in Pakistan this weekend; trader consensus reflects escalation risks balanced against de-escalation signals.

US military buildup in the Middle East has surged past 50,000 troops amid the ongoing US-Israeli air campaign against Iran—Operation Epic Fury—now in its second month since late February strikes. Recent arrivals include 2,500 Marines via the USS Tripoli, another 2,500 sailors, and elements of the 82nd Airborne Division, with Pentagon reports indicating preparations for limited ground operations such as Special Operations raids and infantry actions targeting coastal sites like Kharg Island or the Strait of Hormuz. No US forces have entered Iran, but Iranian missile strikes on Saudi's Prince Sultan Air Base wounded 12-15 US troops last week, prompting Tehran's vows to "destroy" any invaders. Diplomatic efforts continue, with Iran reviewing a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, while regional talks loom in Pakistan this weekend; trader consensus reflects escalation risks balanced against de-escalation signals.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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«Войска США входят в Иран через..?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 76%, за ним следует «30 апреля» с 68%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 76¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Войска США входят в Иран через..?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $53.9 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Войска США входят в Иран через..?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Войска США входят в Иран через..?» — «31 декабря» с 76%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 апреля» с 68%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Войска США входят в Иран через..?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.