Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels, who garnered 24%, fueling trader consensus at 84% implied probability for Jackson's nomination victory amid low turnout expectations typical of Texas runoffs where first-round leaders historically prevail. Daniels, a veteran and attorney with a substantial fundraising edge—over 20-to-1 reported—has mounted an aggressive campaign emphasizing policy depth and America First credentials, yet markets reflect Jackson's grassroots momentum as a local small-business owner and stronger voter enthusiasm from the initial ballot test. Eliminated candidates Gregor Heise and Nils Walker hold negligible odds. Early voting begins May 18, with the deep-blue district's Democratic nominee already set as Rev. Frederick Haynes III.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭверетт Джексон 83.9%
Шолдон Дэниелс 12%
Грегор Хайзе <1%
Нилс Уокер <1%
$23,686 Объем
$23,686 Объем
Эверетт Джексон
84%
Шолдон Дэниелс
12%
Грегор Хайзе
1%
Нилс Уокер
<1%
Эверетт Джексон 83.9%
Шолдон Дэниелс 12%
Грегор Хайзе <1%
Нилс Уокер <1%
$23,686 Объем
$23,686 Объем
Эверетт Джексон
84%
Шолдон Дэниелс
12%
Грегор Хайзе
1%
Нилс Уокер
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels, who garnered 24%, fueling trader consensus at 84% implied probability for Jackson's nomination victory amid low turnout expectations typical of Texas runoffs where first-round leaders historically prevail. Daniels, a veteran and attorney with a substantial fundraising edge—over 20-to-1 reported—has mounted an aggressive campaign emphasizing policy depth and America First credentials, yet markets reflect Jackson's grassroots momentum as a local small-business owner and stronger voter enthusiasm from the initial ballot test. Eliminated candidates Gregor Heise and Nils Walker hold negligible odds. Early voting begins May 18, with the deep-blue district's Democratic nominee already set as Rev. Frederick Haynes III.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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