Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 51% over Democrats at 49.5% in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting tight polling averages showing incumbent Ryan Zinke leading challenger Monica Tranel by 1-4 points across recent surveys from RMG Research and others. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Tranel's fundraising advantage enabling heavy ad spending targeting Zinke's past controversies, balanced against his incumbency edge and strong support in rural areas on energy and public lands issues. A recent debate yielded no decisive momentum shift, while early voting turnout in battleground suburbs like Missoula and Bozeman could tip the balance; national House control dynamics add pressure as generic ballot trends fluctuate. Final polls and election-night vote counts through November 5 will likely determine separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
37%
Демократическая партия
66%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
37%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
66%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 51% over Democrats at 49.5% in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting tight polling averages showing incumbent Ryan Zinke leading challenger Monica Tranel by 1-4 points across recent surveys from RMG Research and others. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Tranel's fundraising advantage enabling heavy ad spending targeting Zinke's past controversies, balanced against his incumbency edge and strong support in rural areas on energy and public lands issues. A recent debate yielded no decisive momentum shift, while early voting turnout in battleground suburbs like Missoula and Bozeman could tip the balance; national House control dynamics add pressure as generic ballot trends fluctuate. Final polls and election-night vote counts through November 5 will likely determine separation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 51% over Democrats at 49.5% in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting tight polling averages showing incumbent Ryan Zinke leading challenger Monica Tranel by 1-4 points across recent surveys from RMG Research and others. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Tranel's fundraising advantage enabling heavy ad spending targeting Zinke's past controversies, balanced against his incumbency edge and strong support in rural areas on energy and public lands issues. A recent debate yielded no decisive momentum shift, while early voting turnout in battleground suburbs like Missoula and Bozeman could tip the balance; national House control dynamics add pressure as generic ballot trends fluctuate. Final polls and election-night vote counts through November 5 will likely determine separation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 51% over Democrats at 49.5% in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting tight polling averages showing incumbent Ryan Zinke leading challenger Monica Tranel by 1-4 points across recent surveys from RMG Research and others. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Tranel's fundraising advantage enabling heavy ad spending targeting Zinke's past controversies, balanced against his incumbency edge and strong support in rural areas on energy and public lands issues. A recent debate yielded no decisive momentum shift, while early voting turnout in battleground suburbs like Missoula and Bozeman could tip the balance; national House control dynamics add pressure as generic ballot trends fluctuate. Final polls and election-night vote counts through November 5 will likely determine separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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