Trader consensus implies a 95.7% probability of no Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31, driven by the sustained truce holding since April 2022 and Saudi Arabia's diplomatic rapprochement with Iran in 2023, which eased Yemen conflict tensions. In recent weeks, Houthi efforts have focused on Red Sea shipping attacks and solidarity with Gaza amid US-UK airstrikes degrading their capabilities, with no verified strikes, missile launches, or threats targeting Saudi territory or assets. Ongoing Oman-mediated talks further signal de-escalation. Realistic shifts could stem from Saudi involvement in anti-Houthi coalition operations, broader Houthi retaliation, or breakdown in ceasefire negotiations before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
$19,686 Объем
$19,686 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
$19,686 Объем
$19,686 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Trader consensus implies a 95.7% probability of no Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31, driven by the sustained truce holding since April 2022 and Saudi Arabia's diplomatic rapprochement with Iran in 2023, which eased Yemen conflict tensions. In recent weeks, Houthi efforts have focused on Red Sea shipping attacks and solidarity with Gaza amid US-UK airstrikes degrading their capabilities, with no verified strikes, missile launches, or threats targeting Saudi territory or assets. Ongoing Oman-mediated talks further signal de-escalation. Realistic shifts could stem from Saudi involvement in anti-Houthi coalition operations, broader Houthi retaliation, or breakdown in ceasefire negotiations before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Объем
$19,686Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Trader consensus implies a 95.7% probability of no Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31, driven by the sustained truce holding since April 2022 and Saudi Arabia's diplomatic rapprochement with Iran in 2023, which eased Yemen conflict tensions. In recent weeks, Houthi efforts have focused on Red Sea shipping attacks and solidarity with Gaza amid US-UK airstrikes degrading their capabilities, with no verified strikes, missile launches, or threats targeting Saudi territory or assets. Ongoing Oman-mediated talks further signal de-escalation. Realistic shifts could stem from Saudi involvement in anti-Houthi coalition operations, broader Houthi retaliation, or breakdown in ceasefire negotiations before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$19,686Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 95.7% probability of no Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31, driven by the sustained truce holding since April 2022 and Saudi Arabia's diplomatic rapprochement with Iran in 2023, which eased Yemen conflict tensions. In recent weeks, Houthi efforts have focused on Red Sea shipping attacks and solidarity with Gaza amid US-UK airstrikes degrading their capabilities, with no verified strikes, missile launches, or threats targeting Saudi territory or assets. Ongoing Oman-mediated talks further signal de-escalation. Realistic shifts could stem from Saudi involvement in anti-Houthi coalition operations, broader Houthi retaliation, or breakdown in ceasefire negotiations before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы