Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage in the safely Republican district, President Trump's endorsement—which he highlighted in a new campaign ad released March 27—and highest cash-on-hand position of over $300,000 as of early 2026 filings. Challenger Sam Couvillon trails at 12% on superior total fundraising exceeding $600,000 and local appeal as former Gainesville mayor, where he aggressively critiqued Clyde's constituent service during the March 23 district GOP debate. Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole holds 6% amid self-funded efforts. A post-debate straw poll favored Couvillon among attendees, but broader trader sentiment prioritizes Clyde's resources ahead of the May 19 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоGA-09 Republican Primary Winner
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner
Andrew Clyde 86%
Sam Couvillon 11%
Gregg Poole 6%
Andrew Clyde
86%
Sam Couvillon
11%
Gregg Poole
6%
Andrew Clyde 86%
Sam Couvillon 11%
Gregg Poole 6%
Andrew Clyde
86%
Sam Couvillon
11%
Gregg Poole
6%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage in the safely Republican district, President Trump's endorsement—which he highlighted in a new campaign ad released March 27—and highest cash-on-hand position of over $300,000 as of early 2026 filings. Challenger Sam Couvillon trails at 12% on superior total fundraising exceeding $600,000 and local appeal as former Gainesville mayor, where he aggressively critiqued Clyde's constituent service during the March 23 district GOP debate. Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole holds 6% amid self-funded efforts. A post-debate straw poll favored Couvillon among attendees, but broader trader sentiment prioritizes Clyde's resources ahead of the May 19 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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