The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$18,757 Объем
$18,757 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$18,757 Объем
$18,757 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
<80
$1,614 Объем
No
80–85
$4,802 Объем
No
85–90
$6,820 Объем
Yes
90–95
$3,313 Объем
No
95–100
$1,533 Объем
No
100+
$674 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Объем
$18,757Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Объем
$18,757Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate for Week 19, 2026, reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the rate climbing steadily through spring before plateauing near 85 per 100,000 population by mid-May. This positioning stems from the sharp seasonal decline in influenza transmission as warmer temperatures reduce viral stability and community mixing, with weekly rates dropping to minimal levels after the winter peak driven largely by influenza A(H3N2). Historical patterns confirm that late-season additions rarely exceed a few points once activity falls below epidemic thresholds. Only an unforeseen late surge or major reporting revisions could shift the final figure outside this band, though current surveillance trends make such outcomes improbable before the CDC’s official release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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