Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОсадки в Нью-Йорке в июле?
Осадки в Нью-Йорке в июле?
4-5" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
3-4" <1%
$49,258 Объем
$49,258 Объем
31 июл. 2026 г.
<2"
No
2-3"
No
3-4"
No
4-5"
Yes
5-6"
No
>6"
No
4-5" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
3-4" <1%
$49,258 Объем
$49,258 Объем
31 июл. 2026 г.
<2"
$4,721 Объем
No
2-3"
$6,845 Объем
No
3-4"
$1,506 Объем
No
4-5"
$8,937 Объем
Yes
5-6"
$23,987 Объем
No
>6"
$3,263 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$49,258Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$49,258Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official measurements from NOAA stations in New York City, including Central Park, recorded total July 2026 precipitation falling squarely in the 4–5 inch range, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects the month's observed rainfall totals aggregated from verified daily reports, consistent with climatological baselines where July averages near 4.5 inches under typical convective patterns. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at near-certainty levels, incorporates final data releases and minimal model divergence on historical analogs. Realistic challenges remain limited to post hoc data revisions by monitoring agencies or station-specific discrepancies, though such adjustments rarely exceed narrow thresholds once preliminary sums are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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