Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market hinges on the outcome of the 2025 contest in Basel, Switzerland (May 13-17), as the winner secures home hosting advantage and momentum for defending their strong televote or jury performance. With national selections accelerating—recent confirmations include Luxembourg's entries and ongoing Melodifestivalen buzz in Sweden—early frontrunners emerge from perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and France, bolstered by Big 5 direct qualification and regional voting blocs. Historical patterns favor innovative staging and bilingual anthems, but upsets via diaspora votes remain common. Watch Q1 2025 national finals and 2025 results for major probability shifts, as no 2026-specific announcements have surfaced in the past month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$23,831 Объем
Finland
82%
Greece
60%
Denmark
59%
France
59%
Israel
56%
Australia
54%
Sweden
41%
Ukraine
37%
Romania
27%
Italy
34%
Czechia
17%
Cyprus
17%
Norway
15%
Moldova
15%
Armenia
14%
Germany
13%
Serbia
13%
Georgia
13%
Croatia
12%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
Albania
10%
United Kingdom
10%
Austria
10%
Latvia
10%
Luxembourg
9%
Belgium
9%
San Marino
9%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
8%
Portugal
8%
Switzerland
11%
Malta
21%
Lithuania
11%
Bulgaria
14%
$23,831 Объем
Finland
82%
Greece
60%
Denmark
59%
France
59%
Israel
56%
Australia
54%
Sweden
41%
Ukraine
37%
Romania
27%
Italy
34%
Czechia
17%
Cyprus
17%
Norway
15%
Moldova
15%
Armenia
14%
Germany
13%
Serbia
13%
Georgia
13%
Croatia
12%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
Albania
10%
United Kingdom
10%
Austria
10%
Latvia
10%
Luxembourg
9%
Belgium
9%
San Marino
9%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
8%
Portugal
8%
Switzerland
11%
Malta
21%
Lithuania
11%
Bulgaria
14%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market hinges on the outcome of the 2025 contest in Basel, Switzerland (May 13-17), as the winner secures home hosting advantage and momentum for defending their strong televote or jury performance. With national selections accelerating—recent confirmations include Luxembourg's entries and ongoing Melodifestivalen buzz in Sweden—early frontrunners emerge from perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and France, bolstered by Big 5 direct qualification and regional voting blocs. Historical patterns favor innovative staging and bilingual anthems, but upsets via diaspora votes remain common. Watch Q1 2025 national finals and 2025 results for major probability shifts, as no 2026-specific announcements have surfaced in the past month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы