The European Union's entrenched institutional framework, anchored in binding treaties and coordinated through the European Parliament and Commission, drives the overwhelming trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Deep economic interdependence, joint foreign policy mechanisms, and ongoing enlargement discussions have sustained cohesion amid recent fiscal and security challenges, with no major member-state exits or treaty-revision crises materializing in the past year. While this reflects broad agreement on continuity, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include coordinated withdrawal initiatives by several states or an acute governance breakdown stemming from unresolved policy disputes over migration and defense integration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕС распадется до 2027 года?
ЕС распадется до 2027 года?
Да
$167,296 Объем
$167,296 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$167,296 Объем
$167,296 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Union's entrenched institutional framework, anchored in binding treaties and coordinated through the European Parliament and Commission, drives the overwhelming trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Deep economic interdependence, joint foreign policy mechanisms, and ongoing enlargement discussions have sustained cohesion amid recent fiscal and security challenges, with no major member-state exits or treaty-revision crises materializing in the past year. While this reflects broad agreement on continuity, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include coordinated withdrawal initiatives by several states or an acute governance breakdown stemming from unresolved policy disputes over migration and defense integration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
Объем
$167,296Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Union's entrenched institutional framework, anchored in binding treaties and coordinated through the European Parliament and Commission, drives the overwhelming trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Deep economic interdependence, joint foreign policy mechanisms, and ongoing enlargement discussions have sustained cohesion amid recent fiscal and security challenges, with no major member-state exits or treaty-revision crises materializing in the past year. While this reflects broad agreement on continuity, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include coordinated withdrawal initiatives by several states or an acute governance breakdown stemming from unresolved policy disputes over migration and defense integration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$167,296Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Union's entrenched institutional framework, anchored in binding treaties and coordinated through the European Parliament and Commission, drives the overwhelming trader consensus against dissolution before 2027. Deep economic interdependence, joint foreign policy mechanisms, and ongoing enlargement discussions have sustained cohesion amid recent fiscal and security challenges, with no major member-state exits or treaty-revision crises materializing in the past year. While this reflects broad agreement on continuity, realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include coordinated withdrawal initiatives by several states or an acute governance breakdown stemming from unresolved policy disputes over migration and defense integration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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