Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume posting on X—typically 25–35 times daily across business updates, Grok/xAI commentary, Tesla and SpaceX developments, and real-time cultural or political reactions—anchors trader expectations for the June 16–23 window, with the tightest implied probabilities clustered on the 180–219 ranges. Recent data shows elevated daily output, including 69 posts on June 17 alone spanning Starlink, AI, and policy topics, reinforcing the market’s view of consistent momentum without major scheduled catalysts like launches or earnings that could spike or suppress volume. The near-even split between 200–219 and 180–199 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing engagement trends or any late-week news surges will push totals higher, while historical weekly totals near 200 keep lower and higher brackets as longer shots.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено200-219 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,348,664 Объем
$5,348,664 Объем
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
Нет
160-179
Нет
180-199
Нет
200-219
Да
220-239
Нет
240-259
Нет
260-279
Нет
280-299
Нет
300-319
Нет
320–339
Нет
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
200-219 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,348,664 Объем
$5,348,664 Объем
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
Нет
160-179
Нет
180-199
Нет
200-219
Да
220-239
Нет
240-259
Нет
260-279
Нет
280-299
Нет
300-319
Нет
320–339
Нет
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume posting on X—typically 25–35 times daily across business updates, Grok/xAI commentary, Tesla and SpaceX developments, and real-time cultural or political reactions—anchors trader expectations for the June 16–23 window, with the tightest implied probabilities clustered on the 180–219 ranges. Recent data shows elevated daily output, including 69 posts on June 17 alone spanning Starlink, AI, and policy topics, reinforcing the market’s view of consistent momentum without major scheduled catalysts like launches or earnings that could spike or suppress volume. The near-even split between 200–219 and 180–199 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing engagement trends or any late-week news surges will push totals higher, while historical weekly totals near 200 keep lower and higher brackets as longer shots.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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