Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKhamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$23,122 Объем
$23,122 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
<5
Нет
5-9
No
10-14
Yes
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
Нет
55–59
Нет
60+
Нет
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$23,122 Объем
$23,122 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
<5
$8,382 Объем
Нет
5-9
$2,963 Объем
No
10-14
$1,633 Объем
Yes
15-19
$1,645 Объем
No
20-24
$1,328 Объем
No
25-29
$761 Объем
No
30-34
$874 Объем
No
35-39
$843 Объем
No
40-44
$1,010 Объем
No
45-49
$869 Объем
No
50-54
$885 Объем
Нет
55–59
$720 Объем
Нет
60+
$1,207 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$23,122Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$23,122Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Khamenei's official X account maintains a historically low posting cadence, issuing formal statements and messages on an irregular basis rather than daily updates, which aligns with trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the June 16–23 window. Recent developments, including the leadership transition following 2025 strikes and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, have not generated a surge in official output from the primary account, as routine diplomatic or domestic messaging remains limited amid ongoing regional stabilization efforts. This pattern reflects standard institutional communication practices where high-volume activity occurs mainly during acute crises, leaving the sub-five outcome as the dominant implied probability based on observed weekly baselines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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