The strong Democratic lean of California's 43rd congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Maxine Waters' established base and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 2026 primary show multiple Democratic challengers alongside a single Republican entrant, with no polling or endorsements indicating a competitive general election contest on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, a late scandal involving the leading candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-43 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-43 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,373 Объем
$22,373 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$22,373 Объем
$22,373 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,325 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$14,048 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 43rd congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Maxine Waters' established base and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 2026 primary show multiple Democratic challengers alongside a single Republican entrant, with no polling or endorsements indicating a competitive general election contest on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, a late scandal involving the leading candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$22,373Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 43rd congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Maxine Waters' established base and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 2026 primary show multiple Democratic challengers alongside a single Republican entrant, with no polling or endorsements indicating a competitive general election contest on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, a late scandal involving the leading candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,373Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 43rd congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Maxine Waters' established base and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 2026 primary show multiple Democratic challengers alongside a single Republican entrant, with no polling or endorsements indicating a competitive general election contest on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on its partisan voting index and voter registration patterns. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, a late scandal involving the leading candidate, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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