Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in California's 43rd Congressional District due to its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and longtime incumbent Rep. Maxine Waters' strong track record, including a 75% general election win in 2024. Waters solidified her position by confirming her re-election bid in early March, dismissing retirement speculation amid her age of 87, despite a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features limited competition, with Republican Cristian Morales posing little threat historically. Scenarios to upend this include Waters withdrawing due to health issues, a primary upset, or a massive national Republican wave, though such shifts remain improbable in this safe Democratic stronghold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоCA-43 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-43 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in California's 43rd Congressional District due to its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and longtime incumbent Rep. Maxine Waters' strong track record, including a 75% general election win in 2024. Waters solidified her position by confirming her re-election bid in early March, dismissing retirement speculation amid her age of 87, despite a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features limited competition, with Republican Cristian Morales posing little threat historically. Scenarios to upend this include Waters withdrawing due to health issues, a primary upset, or a massive national Republican wave, though such shifts remain improbable in this safe Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in California's 43rd Congressional District due to its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and longtime incumbent Rep. Maxine Waters' strong track record, including a 75% general election win in 2024. Waters solidified her position by confirming her re-election bid in early March, dismissing retirement speculation amid her age of 87, despite a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features limited competition, with Republican Cristian Morales posing little threat historically. Scenarios to upend this include Waters withdrawing due to health issues, a primary upset, or a massive national Republican wave, though such shifts remain improbable in this safe Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in California's 43rd Congressional District due to its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and longtime incumbent Rep. Maxine Waters' strong track record, including a 75% general election win in 2024. Waters solidified her position by confirming her re-election bid in early March, dismissing retirement speculation amid her age of 87, despite a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman. The June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary features limited competition, with Republican Cristian Morales posing little threat historically. Scenarios to upend this include Waters withdrawing due to health issues, a primary upset, or a massive national Republican wave, though such shifts remain improbable in this safe Democratic stronghold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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