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O previsões e probabilidades

·
Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

90%

Anthropic

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

1%

$21M Vol.

$802K today

$806K Liq.

1

Ends em 13 dias

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

40%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$9M Vol.

$299K today

$1M Liq.

256

Ends em 8 meses

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

13%

December 31

$40M Vol.

$241K today

$1M Liq.

1,272

Ends em 8 meses

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

17%

$18M Vol.

$240K today

$398K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

32%

$29M Vol.

$237K today

$633K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$40M Vol.

$163K today

$642K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

"In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office

"In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office

99%

<3.5m

$117K Vol.

$82.9K today

$59.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 6 horas

Who will die in The Boys: Season 5?

Who will die in The Boys: Season 5?

100%

Frenchie

$676K Vol.

$72.7K today

$56.0K Liq.

183

Ends em 2 dias

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

80%

$1M Vol.

$67.0K today

$5.9K Liq.

284

Ends em 2 meses

NBA Coach of the Year Winner

NBA Coach of the Year Winner

96%

Joe Mazzulla

$2M Vol.

$53.7K today

$54.1K Liq.

18

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

91%

Anthropic

$174K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

90%

Anthropic

$609K Vol.

$205K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

5%

UAE

$1M Vol.

$295K Liq.

14

Ends em 13 dias

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

49%

No Meeting by June 30

$6M Vol.

$387K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

78%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$615K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

22%

$2M Vol.

$75.0K Liq.

56

Ends em 8 meses

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

34%

$39.3K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 dias

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

12%

$23.6K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

"The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office

"The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office

100%

<23m

$51.5K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like O.

Polymarket currently hosts 12945 active markets for O that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $186.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on O predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.