Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner share 35.5% implied probabilities as Wimbledon 2026 favorites, mirroring their deadlock atop ATP rankings with Alcaraz at No. 1 and Sinner at No. 2 following the Italian's dominant straight-sets Miami Open title last week over Jiří Lehečka for the Sunshine Double. Alcaraz's recent Doha triumph kept pace despite his third-round Miami upset to Sebastian Korda, underscoring their interchangeable hard-court supremacy that traders expect to carry to grass. Novak Djokovic trails at 7.2% amid age-related form dips and physical demands at 39, while Alexander Zverev's 3.7% reflects solid consistency but weaker grass pedigree. This tight duo-lead stems from proven Grand Slam prowess—Alcaraz's back-to-back Wimbledon defenses—and an open field vulnerable to upsets on the fast grass surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCarlos Alcaraz 36%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.7%
$2,792,603 Vol.
$2,792,603 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
36%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
João Fonseca
2%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 36%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.7%
$2,792,603 Vol.
$2,792,603 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
36%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
João Fonseca
2%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner share 35.5% implied probabilities as Wimbledon 2026 favorites, mirroring their deadlock atop ATP rankings with Alcaraz at No. 1 and Sinner at No. 2 following the Italian's dominant straight-sets Miami Open title last week over Jiří Lehečka for the Sunshine Double. Alcaraz's recent Doha triumph kept pace despite his third-round Miami upset to Sebastian Korda, underscoring their interchangeable hard-court supremacy that traders expect to carry to grass. Novak Djokovic trails at 7.2% amid age-related form dips and physical demands at 39, while Alexander Zverev's 3.7% reflects solid consistency but weaker grass pedigree. This tight duo-lead stems from proven Grand Slam prowess—Alcaraz's back-to-back Wimbledon defenses—and an open field vulnerable to upsets on the fast grass surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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