Aryna Sabalenka's commanding Sunshine Double victory at Indian Wells and Miami Open in March 2026, where she defeated Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff in the respective finals while posting a 23-1 hard-court record this year, has solidified her position as world No. 1 and trader consensus favorite at 35.5% implied probability for the hard-court US Open. Iga Swiatek's slide to No. 4 amid a 12-6 start with no titles and early Miami exit tempers her 20.5% standing despite overall pedigree, while Rybakina's 14.2% reflects her runner-up form offset by prior GI illness. Gauff's 7.7% benefits from home-crowd edge and nine straight prior hard-court finals won, but rising teens like Victoria Mboko (6.1%) and Linda Noskova (5.9%) draw support from breakout Top 10 upsets and deep 2026 runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 36%
Iga Swiatek 21%
Elena Rybakina 14.2%
Coco Gauff 7.7%
$965,322 Vol.
$965,322 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
36%
Iga Swiatek
21%
Elena Rybakina
14%
Coco Gauff
8%
Linda Noskova
6%
Tereza Valentova
6%
Marie Bouzkova
4%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Maya Joint
4%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Dayana Yastremska
3%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Alexandra Eala
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Donna Vekic
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 36%
Iga Swiatek 21%
Elena Rybakina 14.2%
Coco Gauff 7.7%
$965,322 Vol.
$965,322 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
36%
Iga Swiatek
21%
Elena Rybakina
14%
Coco Gauff
8%
Linda Noskova
6%
Tereza Valentova
6%
Marie Bouzkova
4%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Maya Joint
4%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Dayana Yastremska
3%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Alexandra Eala
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Donna Vekic
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka's commanding Sunshine Double victory at Indian Wells and Miami Open in March 2026, where she defeated Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff in the respective finals while posting a 23-1 hard-court record this year, has solidified her position as world No. 1 and trader consensus favorite at 35.5% implied probability for the hard-court US Open. Iga Swiatek's slide to No. 4 amid a 12-6 start with no titles and early Miami exit tempers her 20.5% standing despite overall pedigree, while Rybakina's 14.2% reflects her runner-up form offset by prior GI illness. Gauff's 7.7% benefits from home-crowd edge and nine straight prior hard-court finals won, but rising teens like Victoria Mboko (6.1%) and Linda Noskova (5.9%) draw support from breakout Top 10 upsets and deep 2026 runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions