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Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

França 18.4%

Espanha 13.7%

Inglaterra 12.8%

Argentina 11.8%

Polymarket

$2,663,745,726 Vol.

França 18.4%

Espanha 13.7%

Inglaterra 12.8%

Argentina 11.8%

Polymarket

$2,663,745,726 Vol.

icon for França

França

$61,474,351 Vol.

18%

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$53,820,025 Vol.

14%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$46,426,274 Vol.

13%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$60,792,347 Vol.

12%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$55,998,364 Vol.

7%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$44,445,388 Vol.

7%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$54,313,833 Vol.

6%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$53,638,920 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$55,415,230 Vol.

3%

icon for EUA

EUA

$79,314,547 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$61,117,676 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$57,140,268 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$58,786,768 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$75,886,335 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$57,783,598 Vol.

2%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$56,892,134 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$53,538,246 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$63,427,054 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$59,540,931 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$48,458,246 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$57,466,647 Vol.

<1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$60,095,082 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$71,169,658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$69,295,120 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$60,144,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$84,500,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$61,159,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$60,614,989 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$65,832,539 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$53,187,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$61,178,914 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$76,196,841 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$46,902,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,835,992 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$32,778,325 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$43,838,363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$56,319,139 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$62,545,147 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$46,137,150 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$36,409,321 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$61,311,973 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$20,028,210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$30,378,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$39,185,977 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$48,790,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$56,923,222 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$45,056,853 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$56,331,714 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,663,745,726
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,663,745,726
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 18%, followed by "Espanha" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" has generated $2.7 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" is "França" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Espanha" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.