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icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

icon for Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Espanha 16.9%

França 16.6%

Inglaterra 11.2%

Portugal 10.2%

Polymarket

$1,289,597,602 Vol.

Espanha 16.9%

França 16.6%

Inglaterra 11.2%

Portugal 10.2%

Polymarket

$1,289,597,602 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$25,612,878 Vol.

17%

icon for França

França

$31,899,652 Vol.

17%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$21,272,025 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$25,963,831 Vol.

10%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$23,036,384 Vol.

9%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$22,767,411 Vol.

9%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$21,874,333 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$24,660,281 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$25,969,310 Vol.

3%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$21,364,005 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$27,862,805 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$21,304,944 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$27,803,201 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$23,997,947 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$40,192,423 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$22,202,588 Vol.

1%

icon for México

México

$26,241,793 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$29,030,156 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$28,961,624 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$17,869,254 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$24,389,767 Vol.

1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$29,313,886 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$15,848,779 Vol.

1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$29,283,275 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$32,020,745 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$24,154,528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$13,799,165 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$25,851,014 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$30,057,127 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$31,853,534 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$12,369,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$29,867,016 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$31,992,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$26,659,298 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$27,823,459 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$26,839,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$28,887,683 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$35,129,139 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$20,083,330 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$30,415,177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$40,369,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$47,539,254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$17,501,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$16,488,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$33,178,094 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$27,529,508 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$29,244,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$32,326,586 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,289,597,602
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,289,597,602
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 17%, followed by "França" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $1.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "Espanha" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.