Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 16.9%
França 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.2%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,289,597,602 Vol.
$1,289,597,602 Vol.

Espanha
17%

França
17%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
10%

Brasil
9%

Argentina
9%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
3%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Bélgica
2%

Marrocos
1%

Suíça
1%

EUA
1%

Uruguai
1%

México
1%

Equador
1%

Croácia
1%

Turquia
1%

Senegal
1%

Áustria
1%

Suécia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Gana
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
Espanha 16.9%
França 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.2%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,289,597,602 Vol.
$1,289,597,602 Vol.

Espanha
17%

França
17%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
10%

Brasil
9%

Argentina
9%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
3%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Bélgica
2%

Marrocos
1%

Suíça
1%

EUA
1%

Uruguai
1%

México
1%

Equador
1%

Croácia
1%

Turquia
1%

Senegal
1%

Áustria
1%

Suécia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Gana
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions