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Senados previsões e probabilidades

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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$260K Liq.

49

Ends em 6 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

79%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$70.6K today

$560K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

50%

1.8–2.1M

$88.7K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

85%

May 31

$35.2K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

65%

7

$73.7K Vol.

$52.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 4 meses

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

38%

1

$4.8K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

69%

0

$4.7K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

13%

May 31

$505 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

86%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$158K Vol.

$150K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

40%

BMO

$21.6K Vol.

$65.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

BNB Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

BNB Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 13 dias

BNB Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

BNB Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 13 dias

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

22%

Jared Kushner

$79.0K Vol.

$66.5K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

BNB Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

BNB Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 14 dias

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$789 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 17 horas

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$890 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Senados.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Senados that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “BNB Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Senados predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.