Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Senados·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Democratic Party

$864K Vol.

$86.6K today

$317K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Senados·Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$427K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Senados·Politics

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

4%

$32.8K Vol.

$67.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Senados·Politics

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

97%

Talarico 5–10%

$365K Vol.

$61.6K Liq.

8

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
Senados·Politics

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

99%

$7.8K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Senados·Politics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.0K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
Senados·Politics

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

26%

$0 Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
Senados·Politics

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

55%

6

$15.4K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Senados·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

50%

$402K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Senados·Politics

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

38%

2

$1.7K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Senados·Politics

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

76%

0

$1.3K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
Senados·Politics

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

22%

3

$4.0K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Senados·Parlays

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

76%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$39.4K Vol.

$42.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Senados·Politics

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

50%

0.6–0.9M

$30.4K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)
Senados·Politics

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)

96%

Talarico 6.0–6.5%

$98.9K Vol.

$56.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Senados·Politics

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

22%

Cornyn 3–6%

$4.1K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?
Senados·Politics

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?

93%

Dems

$7.3K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Senados·Politics

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

40%

$102K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 10 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Senados·Politics

Texas Republican Senate Primary Margin of Victory

99%

Cornyn <3%

$0 Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

1

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?
Senados·Politics

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

8%

↓ 40%

$206K Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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