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Recompensas 50, 4,5, 100 previsões e probabilidades

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Líder do Irão no final de 2026?

Líder do Irão no final de 2026?

70%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$12M Vol.

$749K today

$2M Liq.

118

Ends em 7 meses

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?

100%

Anthropic

$12M Vol.

$140K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 7 horas

Onde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?

Onde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?

46%

Paquistão

$8M Vol.

$84.3K today

$548K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX

45%

2,0T-2,5T

$2M Vol.

$81.6K Liq.

8

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

47%

Eugen Tomac

$2M Vol.

$453K Liq.

43

Ends em cerca de 7 horas

Primária republicana do Senado do Texas Margem de Vitória

Primária republicana do Senado do Texas Margem de Vitória

100%

Paxton 9%+

$250K Vol.

$138K Liq.

1

Ends há 6 dias

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

100%

Anthropic

$797K Vol.

$227K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 7 horas

Quanto a SpaceX vai levantar em seu IPO?

Quanto a SpaceX vai levantar em seu IPO?

57%

70-80B

$147K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

8

Quantas semanas ICEMAN será o número 1 na Billboard 200?

Quantas semanas ICEMAN será o número 1 na Billboard 200?

68%

4+

$26.4K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

59%

1.8T+

$80.7K Vol.

$71.1K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Em qual exchange a SpaceX será listada?

Em qual exchange a SpaceX será listada?

99%

NASDAQ

$107K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 11 active markets for Recompensas 50, 4,5, 100 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Líder do Irão no final de 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Recompensas 50, 4,5, 100 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.