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Ataques Ofensivos Do IrãO previsões e probabilidades

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

75%

December 31

$225M Vol.

$11M today

$3M Liq.

4,683

Ends em 7 meses

Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

May 24

$53M Vol.

$5M today

$6M Liq.

947

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

72%

June 30

$20M Vol.

$4M today

$393K Liq.

270

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

22%

June 30

$48M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

1,996

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

6%

$6M Vol.

$910K today

$123K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

14%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$435K today

$155K Liq.

27

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

79%

July 31

$42M Vol.

$361K today

$440K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

46%

December 31

$12M Vol.

$365K today

$283K Liq.

175

Ends em 7 meses

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

71%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$11M Vol.

$363K today

$2M Liq.

118

Ends em 7 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

40%

$4M Vol.

$201K today

$86.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

2%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$166K today

$272K Liq.

67

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

5%

$1M Vol.

$141K today

$44.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

20%

$33M Vol.

$126K today

$327K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

12%

December 31

$20M Vol.

$107K today

$407K Liq.

402

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

28%

December 31

$16M Vol.

$96.1K today

$188K Liq.

1,062

Ends em 7 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

54%

Pakistan

$8M Vol.

$84.1K today

$516K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

3%

$1M Vol.

$72.7K today

$60.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

10%

$141K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

78%

$2M Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

28%

$2M Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 75% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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