OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

29%

$47.5K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

9

Ends em 9 meses

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

21%

$12.5K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

7

Ends em 9 meses

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

10%

$47.8K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

3

Ends em 26 dias

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

70%

$3.3K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

17%

$7.1K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

94%

Dollar 5+ times

$13.9K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 dias

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

93%

Happy Easter

$21.1K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

72

Ends em 9 meses

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

41%

$72.6K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$252K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

31

Ends há 3 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

92%

1560

$1.6K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

86%

1550

$4.5K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

19%

$27.3K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

10%

$70.8K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

88%

1525

$1.4K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

92%

1520

$934 Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

7%

$1.1K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

71%

Alibaba

$1.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

93%

Anthropic

$6.6K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

15%

$127 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like InteligêNcia Artificial.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for InteligêNcia Artificial that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “AI bubble burst by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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