Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) hitting key resistance levels by March 31 reflects a 65% implied probability, driven primarily by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid China's stimulus measures boosting base metals. Current spot silver trades at $31.45/oz, up 28% YTD, correlated tightly with gold's safe-haven rally amid geopolitical risks and Fed rate cut expectations—markets price in 75bps of easing through Q2 2025 per CME FedWatch. Key risks include a stronger USD from sticky inflation or supply surges from new Mexican mines; watch March 18 FOMC for dot plot updates and April 1 ISM manufacturing data, with $33/oz as pivotal resistance for bullish resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$1,021,264 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
16%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$1,021,264 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
16%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) hitting key resistance levels by March 31 reflects a 65% implied probability, driven primarily by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid China's stimulus measures boosting base metals. Current spot silver trades at $31.45/oz, up 28% YTD, correlated tightly with gold's safe-haven rally amid geopolitical risks and Fed rate cut expectations—markets price in 75bps of easing through Q2 2025 per CME FedWatch. Key risks include a stronger USD from sticky inflation or supply surges from new Mexican mines; watch March 18 FOMC for dot plot updates and April 1 ISM manufacturing data, with $33/oz as pivotal resistance for bullish resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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