Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) surpassing key thresholds by March 31 leans bearish, with yes shares trading below 20% amid spot prices hovering near $24.80—down from mid-month peaks above $25.50—pressured by a strengthening U.S. dollar index above 104 and persistent high Treasury yields curbing precious metals appeal. Industrial demand from solar panels offers support, but supply from Mexico and Peru remains ample, while gold's outperformance diverts investment flows. Key watch: Friday's nonfarm payrolls data could sway Fed rate cut odds, boosting silver if soft; historical EOM volatility averages 2-3% swings, but sub-$25 close precedent in 8 of last 10 Marches tempers upside.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$921,245 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
59%
↓ $60
16%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$921,245 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
59%
↓ $60
16%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) surpassing key thresholds by March 31 leans bearish, with yes shares trading below 20% amid spot prices hovering near $24.80—down from mid-month peaks above $25.50—pressured by a strengthening U.S. dollar index above 104 and persistent high Treasury yields curbing precious metals appeal. Industrial demand from solar panels offers support, but supply from Mexico and Peru remains ample, while gold's outperformance diverts investment flows. Key watch: Friday's nonfarm payrolls data could sway Fed rate cut odds, boosting silver if soft; historical EOM volatility averages 2-3% swings, but sub-$25 close precedent in 8 of last 10 Marches tempers upside.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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