Polymarket traders assign a 45% implied probability to silver futures (SI) surpassing $32 by March 31, reflecting cautious sentiment amid a strengthening U.S. dollar index above 106 and elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%, which pressure precious metals as non-yielding assets. Spot silver hovers at $31.20, up 2% weekly on robust industrial demand from solar panel production and EV batteries, but supply from major miners like Fresnillo remains steady. Key catalysts ahead include Friday's PCE inflation data and next week's FOMC minutes, where hotter-than-expected prints could reinforce rate-cut delays, capping upside; historical March seasonality shows silver averaging 1.5% gains, yet trader capital tilts bearish below $31.50 resistance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$1,011,371 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,011,371 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $50
5%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 45% implied probability to silver futures (SI) surpassing $32 by March 31, reflecting cautious sentiment amid a strengthening U.S. dollar index above 106 and elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%, which pressure precious metals as non-yielding assets. Spot silver hovers at $31.20, up 2% weekly on robust industrial demand from solar panel production and EV batteries, but supply from major miners like Fresnillo remains steady. Key catalysts ahead include Friday's PCE inflation data and next week's FOMC minutes, where hotter-than-expected prints could reinforce rate-cut delays, capping upside; historical March seasonality shows silver averaging 1.5% gains, yet trader capital tilts bearish below $31.50 resistance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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