Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to silver (SI) surpassing $32 by March 31, propelled by robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs amid global green energy transitions, coupled with a softening US dollar following Fed rate cuts. Spot silver hovers near $31.15, up 28% year-to-date, as inflation hedges gain traction despite elevated Treasury yields pressuring metals. Critical near-term catalysts include March 28 PCE inflation data and potential Chinese stimulus, which could accelerate upside if CPI undershoots forecasts; conversely, hawkish FOMC signals risk pullbacks. Trader consensus reflects historical March seasonality averaging 1.8% gains, underscoring bullish market dynamics backed by real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$932,846 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
58%
↓ $60
10%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$932,846 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ US$ 125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ $95
4%
↓ $65
58%
↓ $60
10%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to silver (SI) surpassing $32 by March 31, propelled by robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs amid global green energy transitions, coupled with a softening US dollar following Fed rate cuts. Spot silver hovers near $31.15, up 28% year-to-date, as inflation hedges gain traction despite elevated Treasury yields pressuring metals. Critical near-term catalysts include March 28 PCE inflation data and potential Chinese stimulus, which could accelerate upside if CPI undershoots forecasts; conversely, hawkish FOMC signals risk pullbacks. Trader consensus reflects historical March seasonality averaging 1.8% gains, underscoring bullish market dynamics backed by real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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