Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures to hit $2,700 by March 31, driven primarily by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine boosting safe-haven demand amid a weakening U.S. dollar. Spot gold trades at $2,650/oz as of the latest COMEX settlement, up 15% YTD, supported by central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually and softer-than-expected February CPI data fueling Fed rate cut bets (now 75bps priced in for 2025 via Fed funds futures). Key risks include a hawkish FOMC March 19 readout or strong U.S. payrolls on March 7, which could strengthen the dollar and cap upside; watch $2,680 resistance for breakout cues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
O Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
$1,944,493 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ US$ 6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ US$ 6.000
1%
↑ $5.800
1%
↑ US$ 5.600
1%
↑ $5.500
3%
↑ $5.400
2%
↓ $4.500
77%
↓ US$ 4.300
26%
↓ US$ 4.000
5%
↓ $3.600
1%
↓ US$ 3.000
<1%
$1,944,493 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ US$ 6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ US$ 6.000
1%
↑ $5.800
1%
↑ US$ 5.600
1%
↑ $5.500
3%
↑ $5.400
2%
↓ $4.500
77%
↓ US$ 4.300
26%
↓ US$ 4.000
5%
↓ $3.600
1%
↓ US$ 3.000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures to hit $2,700 by March 31, driven primarily by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine boosting safe-haven demand amid a weakening U.S. dollar. Spot gold trades at $2,650/oz as of the latest COMEX settlement, up 15% YTD, supported by central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually and softer-than-expected February CPI data fueling Fed rate cut bets (now 75bps priced in for 2025 via Fed funds futures). Key risks include a hawkish FOMC March 19 readout or strong U.S. payrolls on March 7, which could strengthen the dollar and cap upside; watch $2,680 resistance for breakout cues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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