Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that Gold (GC) futures will hit $2,700 by March 31, fueled primarily by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, which would weaken the dollar and boost non-yielding assets like gold. Spot gold trades near $2,650 after recent highs above $2,680, supported by persistent geopolitical risks in the Middle East and softer U.S. inflation data. Key risks include a hawkish Fed pivot if upcoming March 12 CPI exceeds forecasts or stronger-than-expected jobs data, potentially capping upside; historical precedent shows gold rallying 5-10% post-pivot cuts, but dollar strength has reversed gains in prior cycles. Watch COMEX positioning for sentiment shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
O Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
$2,014,120 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ US$ 6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ US$ 6.000
<1%
↑ $5.800
1%
↑ US$ 5.600
1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ $5.400
2%
↓ $4.500
87%
↓ US$ 4.300
26%
↓ US$ 4.000
8%
↓ $3.600
2%
↓ US$ 3.000
1%
$2,014,120 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ US$ 6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ US$ 6.000
<1%
↑ $5.800
1%
↑ US$ 5.600
1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ $5.400
2%
↓ $4.500
87%
↓ US$ 4.300
26%
↓ US$ 4.000
8%
↓ $3.600
2%
↓ US$ 3.000
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that Gold (GC) futures will hit $2,700 by March 31, fueled primarily by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, which would weaken the dollar and boost non-yielding assets like gold. Spot gold trades near $2,650 after recent highs above $2,680, supported by persistent geopolitical risks in the Middle East and softer U.S. inflation data. Key risks include a hawkish Fed pivot if upcoming March 12 CPI exceeds forecasts or stronger-than-expected jobs data, potentially capping upside; historical precedent shows gold rallying 5-10% post-pivot cuts, but dollar strength has reversed gains in prior cycles. Watch COMEX positioning for sentiment shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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