Polymarket traders price a 36.5% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) shares closing the week of March 30 below $350, reflecting bearish sentiment driven by weaker-than-expected Q1 2026 delivery forecasts and an ongoing electric vehicle market slowdown, which halved some analysts' full-year growth estimates to 3.8%. Shares have declined over 8% in the past week from the mid-$380s to around $362 amid seasonal first-quarter softness, geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, and rotation out of high-valuation growth stocks. Consensus analyst price targets hover near $400 with a Hold rating, supporting modest upside potential to $395+ (20% odds) on FSD and robotaxi progress, ahead of Q1 earnings expected early April.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTesla (TSLA) fecha a semana de 30 de março às ___?
Tesla (TSLA) fecha a semana de 30 de março às ___?
Abaixo de US$350 38%
>$395 20%
$380-$385 10.5%
$390-$395 10.5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
Abaixo de US$350
38%
$350-$355
7%
$355-$360
8%
$360-$365
6%
$365-$370
8%
$370-$375
7%
$375-$380
7%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
8%
$390-$395
11%
>$395
20%
Abaixo de US$350 38%
>$395 20%
$380-$385 10.5%
$390-$395 10.5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
Abaixo de US$350
$0 Vol.
38%
$350-$355
$5 Vol.
7%
$355-$360
$5 Vol.
8%
$360-$365
$0 Vol.
6%
$365-$370
$5 Vol.
8%
$370-$375
$5 Vol.
7%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
7%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
11%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
8%
$390-$395
$0 Vol.
11%
>$395
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price a 36.5% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) shares closing the week of March 30 below $350, reflecting bearish sentiment driven by weaker-than-expected Q1 2026 delivery forecasts and an ongoing electric vehicle market slowdown, which halved some analysts' full-year growth estimates to 3.8%. Shares have declined over 8% in the past week from the mid-$380s to around $362 amid seasonal first-quarter softness, geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, and rotation out of high-valuation growth stocks. Consensus analyst price targets hover near $400 with a Hold rating, supporting modest upside potential to $395+ (20% odds) on FSD and robotaxi progress, ahead of Q1 earnings expected early April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$20Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price a 36.5% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) shares closing the week of March 30 below $350, reflecting bearish sentiment driven by weaker-than-expected Q1 2026 delivery forecasts and an ongoing electric vehicle market slowdown, which halved some analysts' full-year growth estimates to 3.8%. Shares have declined over 8% in the past week from the mid-$380s to around $362 amid seasonal first-quarter softness, geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, and rotation out of high-valuation growth stocks. Consensus analyst price targets hover near $400 with a Hold rating, supporting modest upside potential to $395+ (20% odds) on FSD and robotaxi progress, ahead of Q1 earnings expected early April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$20Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 36.5% implied probability for Tesla (TSLA) shares closing the week of March 30 below $350, reflecting bearish sentiment driven by weaker-than-expected Q1 2026 delivery forecasts and an ongoing electric vehicle market slowdown, which halved some analysts' full-year growth estimates to 3.8%. Shares have declined over 8% in the past week from the mid-$380s to around $362 amid seasonal first-quarter softness, geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, and rotation out of high-valuation growth stocks. Consensus analyst price targets hover near $400 with a Hold rating, supporting modest upside potential to $395+ (20% odds) on FSD and robotaxi progress, ahead of Q1 earnings expected early April.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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