Polymarket traders assign near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% to AAPL closing the week of March 30 in the $240-$245, $245-$250, or $250-$255 ranges, reflecting tight consensus around $242-$252 amid range-bound trading near the March 27 close of $248.80, down 1.6% on broader tech sector weakness. Recent catalysts include Apple's hire of an ex-Google executive to lead AI marketing for Siri enhancements, bolstering sentiment ahead of WWDC and signaling Apple Intelligence momentum, yet absent specific next-week events like product launches, positioning hinges on macroeconomic swings such as Treasury yields and Nasdaq volatility. Late-April earnings loom as the key differentiator, with projections for 13%-16% revenue growth from iPhone and services potentially tipping the balance higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado>$275 97%
$245-$250 50%
$250-$255 50%
<$230 49%
<$230
49%
$230-$235
49%
$235-$240
48%
$240-$245
49%
$245-$250
50%
$250-$255
50%
$255-$260
49%
$260-$265
49%
$265-$270
49%
$270-$275
49%
>$275
97%
>$275 97%
$245-$250 50%
$250-$255 50%
<$230 49%
<$230
49%
$230-$235
49%
$235-$240
48%
$240-$245
49%
$245-$250
50%
$250-$255
50%
$255-$260
49%
$260-$265
49%
$265-$270
49%
$270-$275
49%
>$275
97%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign near-even implied probabilities of 49.5% to AAPL closing the week of March 30 in the $240-$245, $245-$250, or $250-$255 ranges, reflecting tight consensus around $242-$252 amid range-bound trading near the March 27 close of $248.80, down 1.6% on broader tech sector weakness. Recent catalysts include Apple's hire of an ex-Google executive to lead AI marketing for Siri enhancements, bolstering sentiment ahead of WWDC and signaling Apple Intelligence momentum, yet absent specific next-week events like product launches, positioning hinges on macroeconomic swings such as Treasury yields and Nasdaq volatility. Late-April earnings loom as the key differentiator, with projections for 13%-16% revenue growth from iPhone and services potentially tipping the balance higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions