Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight positioning around $195-$205 (implied probabilities of 21-22%) for Amazon (AMZN)'s weekly close, with comparable downside risk below $185 (21.5%), underscoring uncertainty amid a recent 4% share price drop to $199 on broader market sell-off driven by rising inflation data and concerns over executive departures impacting AI strategy execution. Key differentiators include accelerating AWS revenue growth at 24% annualized and high-margin advertising expansion, offsetting $200 billion in 2026 capex for AI infrastructure like custom Trainium chips and Bedrock services, while geopolitical tensions in the Hormuz Strait and potential Trump tariffs heighten supply chain vulnerabilities for e-commerce. Upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases next week could catalyze swings ahead of Q1 earnings in late April.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$195-$200 22%
<US$185 21%
$200-$205 21%
$205-$210 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<US$185
21%
$185-$190
11%
$190-$195
18%
$195-$200
22%
$200-$205
21%
$205-$210
18%
$210-$215
9%
$215-$220
8%
$220-$225
11%
$225-$230
10%
>US$230
7%
$195-$200 22%
<US$185 21%
$200-$205 21%
$205-$210 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<US$185
$0 Vol.
21%
$185-$190
$192 Vol.
11%
$190-$195
$0 Vol.
18%
$195-$200
$0 Vol.
22%
$200-$205
$0 Vol.
21%
$205-$210
$0 Vol.
18%
$210-$215
$0 Vol.
9%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
8%
$220-$225
$0 Vol.
11%
$225-$230
$6 Vol.
10%
>US$230
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight positioning around $195-$205 (implied probabilities of 21-22%) for Amazon (AMZN)'s weekly close, with comparable downside risk below $185 (21.5%), underscoring uncertainty amid a recent 4% share price drop to $199 on broader market sell-off driven by rising inflation data and concerns over executive departures impacting AI strategy execution. Key differentiators include accelerating AWS revenue growth at 24% annualized and high-margin advertising expansion, offsetting $200 billion in 2026 capex for AI infrastructure like custom Trainium chips and Bedrock services, while geopolitical tensions in the Hormuz Strait and potential Trump tariffs heighten supply chain vulnerabilities for e-commerce. Upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases next week could catalyze swings ahead of Q1 earnings in late April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$198Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight positioning around $195-$205 (implied probabilities of 21-22%) for Amazon (AMZN)'s weekly close, with comparable downside risk below $185 (21.5%), underscoring uncertainty amid a recent 4% share price drop to $199 on broader market sell-off driven by rising inflation data and concerns over executive departures impacting AI strategy execution. Key differentiators include accelerating AWS revenue growth at 24% annualized and high-margin advertising expansion, offsetting $200 billion in 2026 capex for AI infrastructure like custom Trainium chips and Bedrock services, while geopolitical tensions in the Hormuz Strait and potential Trump tariffs heighten supply chain vulnerabilities for e-commerce. Upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases next week could catalyze swings ahead of Q1 earnings in late April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$198Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight positioning around $195-$205 (implied probabilities of 21-22%) for Amazon (AMZN)'s weekly close, with comparable downside risk below $185 (21.5%), underscoring uncertainty amid a recent 4% share price drop to $199 on broader market sell-off driven by rising inflation data and concerns over executive departures impacting AI strategy execution. Key differentiators include accelerating AWS revenue growth at 24% annualized and high-margin advertising expansion, offsetting $200 billion in 2026 capex for AI infrastructure like custom Trainium chips and Bedrock services, while geopolitical tensions in the Hormuz Strait and potential Trump tariffs heighten supply chain vulnerabilities for e-commerce. Upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases next week could catalyze swings ahead of Q1 earnings in late April.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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