President Trump's approval rating faces downward pressure from escalating military tensions with Iran and persistent economic headwinds, including high inflation and surging gas prices, reflected in trader consensus pricing the RealClearPolitics polling average at 39.5–39.9% on April 3. A CNN poll released two days ago showed overall approval at 35%—near his second-term low—with economy handling at a career-worst 31%, while a UMass survey pegged it at 33% amid dissatisfaction over tariffs, jobs, and immigration. Erosion among working-class white voters and core Republicans has compounded the slide, outweighing Trump's recent Iran war speech promising a swift resolution. Upcoming polls and midterm risks could further sway the closely contested 39–40% range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTrump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.5–39.9 79%
39.0–39.4 15.1%
40.0–40.4 2.3%
40.5–40.9 <1%
$184,584 Vol.
$184,584 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<39.0
<1%
39.0–39.4
15%
39.5–39.9
79%
40.0–40.4
2%
40.5–40.9
<1%
41.0+
<1%
39.5–39.9 79%
39.0–39.4 15.1%
40.0–40.4 2.3%
40.5–40.9 <1%
$184,584 Vol.
$184,584 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<39.0
$19,054 Vol.
<1%
39.0–39.4
$19,817 Vol.
15%
39.5–39.9
$65,172 Vol.
79%
40.0–40.4
$59,897 Vol.
2%
40.5–40.9
$11,272 Vol.
<1%
41.0+
$9,372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating faces downward pressure from escalating military tensions with Iran and persistent economic headwinds, including high inflation and surging gas prices, reflected in trader consensus pricing the RealClearPolitics polling average at 39.5–39.9% on April 3. A CNN poll released two days ago showed overall approval at 35%—near his second-term low—with economy handling at a career-worst 31%, while a UMass survey pegged it at 33% amid dissatisfaction over tariffs, jobs, and immigration. Erosion among working-class white voters and core Republicans has compounded the slide, outweighing Trump's recent Iran war speech promising a swift resolution. Upcoming polls and midterm risks could further sway the closely contested 39–40% range.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$184,584Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating faces downward pressure from escalating military tensions with Iran and persistent economic headwinds, including high inflation and surging gas prices, reflected in trader consensus pricing the RealClearPolitics polling average at 39.5–39.9% on April 3. A CNN poll released two days ago showed overall approval at 35%—near his second-term low—with economy handling at a career-worst 31%, while a UMass survey pegged it at 33% amid dissatisfaction over tariffs, jobs, and immigration. Erosion among working-class white voters and core Republicans has compounded the slide, outweighing Trump's recent Iran war speech promising a swift resolution. Upcoming polls and midterm risks could further sway the closely contested 39–40% range.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$184,584Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's approval rating faces downward pressure from escalating military tensions with Iran and persistent economic headwinds, including high inflation and surging gas prices, reflected in trader consensus pricing the RealClearPolitics polling average at 39.5–39.9% on April 3. A CNN poll released two days ago showed overall approval at 35%—near his second-term low—with economy handling at a career-worst 31%, while a UMass survey pegged it at 33% amid dissatisfaction over tariffs, jobs, and immigration. Erosion among working-class white voters and core Republicans has compounded the slide, outweighing Trump's recent Iran war speech promising a swift resolution. Upcoming polls and midterm risks could further sway the closely contested 39–40% range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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