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Política·Aprovação

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Market icon
Política·Aprovação

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Subiu

0% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Subiu

0% chance
Polymarket
NEW
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval ratings to rise in April, reflecting stabilisation at historic lows after a February recovery from January's -57 net favourability nadir. YouGov's March 23 poll shows net approval steady at -49 (21% doing well, 70% badly) and favourability at -48, unchanged month-on-month amid Iran conflict escalation and Spring Statement warnings of halved growth and rising unemployment. Starmer's March 16 press conference emphasised measured responses—granting limited US base access post-Iran's Diego Garcia strikes without wider war—potentially bolstering perceptions of steady crisis leadership as de-escalation signals emerge ahead of key economic updates.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval ratings to rise in April, reflecting stabilisation at historic lows after a February recovery from January's -57 net favourability nadir. YouGov's March 23 poll shows net approval steady at -49 (21% doing well, 70% badly) and favourability at -48, unchanged month-on-month amid Iran conflict escalation and Spring Statement warnings of halved growth and rising unemployment. Starmer's March 16 press conference emphasised measured responses—granting limited US base access post-Iran's Diego Garcia strikes without wider war—potentially bolstering perceptions of steady crisis leadership as de-escalation signals emerge ahead of key economic updates.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval ratings to rise in April, reflecting stabilisation at historic lows after a February recovery from January's -57 net favourability nadir. YouGov's March 23 poll shows net approval steady at -49 (21% doing well, 70% badly) and favourability at -48, unchanged month-on-month amid Iran conflict escalation and Spring Statement warnings of halved growth and rising unemployment. Starmer's March 16 press conference emphasised measured responses—granting limited US base access post-Iran's Diego Garcia strikes without wider war—potentially bolstering perceptions of steady crisis leadership as de-escalation signals emerge ahead of key economic updates.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Keir Starmer's approval ratings to rise in April, reflecting stabilisation at historic lows after a February recovery from January's -57 net favourability nadir. YouGov's March 23 poll shows net approval steady at -49 (21% doing well, 70% badly) and favourability at -48, unchanged month-on-month amid Iran conflict escalation and Spring Statement warnings of halved growth and rising unemployment. Starmer's March 16 press conference emphasised measured responses—granting limited US base access post-Iran's Diego Garcia strikes without wider war—potentially bolstering perceptions of steady crisis leadership as de-escalation signals emerge ahead of key economic updates.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 58% for "Subiu." A price of 58% means the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Starmer approval Up or Down in April? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Starmer approval Up or Down in April?," decide whether you believe Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price at noon ET on April 29 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price at noon ET on March 27. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" is 58% for "Subiu," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 58% chance that Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price will finish subiu over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Starmer approval Up or Down in April? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" market resolves based on a comparison of Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price at noon ET on April 29 versus noon ET on March 27, using Binance STARMER-APPROVAL/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the April 29 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.