Trader sentiment on Polymarket's June silver (SI) settlement remains tightly contested, with <$50/oz holding a slim 16.5% implied probability lead over $60-$70 at 14.4%, reflecting current spot prices near $30.50/oz and June futures around $30.80. Primary drivers include chronic supply deficits—projected at 184M oz for 2024 per the Silver Institute—bolstered by explosive industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and EVs, offsetting USD strength from sticky inflation. Competitive dynamics hinge on Fed policy: anticipated June FOMC signals for rate cuts could propel prices toward $60+, while robust NFP or CPI data risks capping at sub-$50. Key differentiator: geopolitical escalations amplifying safe-haven flows versus yield curve steepening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual será o preço do Silver (SI) em junho?
Qual será o preço do Silver (SI) em junho?
Abaixo de $50 17%
$60-$70 14.3%
$50-$60 13.3%
$70-$80 11.7%
$392,901 Vol.
$392,901 Vol.
Abaixo de $50
17%
$50-$60
13%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
9%
$100-$115
9%
>$115
12%
Abaixo de $50 17%
$60-$70 14.3%
$50-$60 13.3%
$70-$80 11.7%
$392,901 Vol.
$392,901 Vol.
Abaixo de $50
17%
$50-$60
13%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
9%
$100-$115
9%
>$115
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's June silver (SI) settlement remains tightly contested, with <$50/oz holding a slim 16.5% implied probability lead over $60-$70 at 14.4%, reflecting current spot prices near $30.50/oz and June futures around $30.80. Primary drivers include chronic supply deficits—projected at 184M oz for 2024 per the Silver Institute—bolstered by explosive industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and EVs, offsetting USD strength from sticky inflation. Competitive dynamics hinge on Fed policy: anticipated June FOMC signals for rate cuts could propel prices toward $60+, while robust NFP or CPI data risks capping at sub-$50. Key differentiator: geopolitical escalations amplifying safe-haven flows versus yield curve steepening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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