Trader consensus pins an 84.5% implied probability on 53–56 million Day 2 views for MrBeast's latest challenge video, fueled by its blistering Day 1 haul of over 43 million views in 24 hours—aligning with his historical 48-hour benchmarks for mega-hits like "Squid Game" recreations. YouTube's algorithm amplification, massive cross-promotion on TikTok and Instagram Reels, and viral X buzz from fan shares have sustained momentum, positioning this bin as the safe leader while 50–53M (14%) captures mild saturation concerns. Lower outcomes fade amid MrBeast's unmatched pull in short-form hype cycles, with traders eyeing live view trackers for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
53–56M 92%
50–53M 8%
56–59M <1%
<44M <1%
$612,116 Vol.
$612,116 Vol.
<44M
<1%
44–47M
<1%
47–50M
<1%
50–53M
8%
53–56M
92%
56–59M
1%
59M+
<1%
53–56M 92%
50–53M 8%
56–59M <1%
<44M <1%
$612,116 Vol.
$612,116 Vol.
<44M
<1%
44–47M
<1%
47–50M
<1%
50–53M
8%
53–56M
92%
56–59M
1%
59M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins an 84.5% implied probability on 53–56 million Day 2 views for MrBeast's latest challenge video, fueled by its blistering Day 1 haul of over 43 million views in 24 hours—aligning with his historical 48-hour benchmarks for mega-hits like "Squid Game" recreations. YouTube's algorithm amplification, massive cross-promotion on TikTok and Instagram Reels, and viral X buzz from fan shares have sustained momentum, positioning this bin as the safe leader while 50–53M (14%) captures mild saturation concerns. Lower outcomes fade amid MrBeast's unmatched pull in short-form hype cycles, with traders eyeing live view trackers for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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