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# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Market icon

# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

>14 100.0%

<11 <1%

11-14 <1%

Polymarket

$219,848 Vol.

>14 100.0%

<11 <1%

11-14 <1%

Polymarket

$219,848 Vol.

<11

$67,206 Vol.

No

11-14

$57,810 Vol.

No

>14

$94,832 Vol.

Yes

Note: Additional options for the number of named storms can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024 This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name fewer than 11 storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names fewer than 11 storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 11 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "No" immediately. Note: Storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it will count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that hasn't been classified yet by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until Dec 1, 3 AM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight. Note: Additional options for the number of named storms can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024 This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name between 11 and 14 storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names between 11 (inclusive) and 14 (inclusive) storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 15 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "No" immediately. Note: Storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it will count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that hasn't been classified yet by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until Dec 1, 3 AM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight. Note: Additional options for the number of named storms can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024 This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name more than 14 storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names more than 14 storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 15 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: Storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it will count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that hasn't been classified yet by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until Dec 1, 3 AM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.

Note: Additional options for the number of named storms can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024 This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name fewer than 11 storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names fewer than 11 storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 11 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "No" immediately. Note: Storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it will count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that hasn't been classified yet by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until Dec 1, 3 AM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight. Note: Additional options for the number of named storms can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024 This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name between 11 and 14 storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names between 11 (inclusive) and 14 (inclusive) storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 15 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "No" immediately. Note: Storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it will count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that hasn't been classified yet by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until Dec 1, 3 AM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight. Note: Additional options for the number of named storms can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-2024 This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name more than 14 storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names more than 14 storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 15 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: Storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it will count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that hasn't been classified yet by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until Dec 1, 3 AM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">14" at 100%, followed by "<11" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? " has generated $219.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 17, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? ," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? " is ">14" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<11" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.