Market icon
Tecnologia·Big Tech

Próximo CEO da Apple?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Big Tech

Próximo CEO da Apple?

John Ternus 42%

Sabih Khan 16%

Greg Joswiak 14.9%

Craig Federighi 10.4%

Polymarket

$668,608 Vol.

John Ternus 42%

Sabih Khan 16%

Greg Joswiak 14.9%

Craig Federighi 10.4%

Polymarket

$668,608 Vol.

John Ternus

$579,387 Vol.

42%

Sabih Khan

$7,781 Vol.

16%

Greg Joswiak

$49,959 Vol.

15%

Craig Federighi

$31,481 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of Hardware Engineering, as the frontrunner at 42% implied probability for next CEO, fueled by a March 22 Bloomberg profile dubbing him Tim Cook's "heir apparent" amid his expanded oversight of design and product quality improvements. Recent reports from The New York Times and Financial Times highlight Ternus' low-profile influence on core hardware like iPhone and Mac development, bolstering his internal candidacy. Sabih Khan (16.5%), recently elevated operations chief, gains from supply chain expertise; marketing head Greg Joswiak (14.9%) and software SVP Craig Federighi (10.3%) trail due to narrower scopes. Despite Cook's March 17 denial of imminent retirement, executive shifts and Apple's 50th anniversary events keep succession speculation alive, with no firm timeline announced.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Volume
$668,608
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of Hardware Engineering, as the frontrunner at 42% implied probability for next CEO, fueled by a March 22 Bloomberg profile dubbing him Tim Cook's "heir apparent" amid his expanded oversight of design and product quality improvements. Recent reports from The New York Times and Financial Times highlight Ternus' low-profile influence on core hardware like iPhone and Mac development, bolstering his internal candidacy. Sabih Khan (16.5%), recently elevated operations chief, gains from supply chain expertise; marketing head Greg Joswiak (14.9%) and software SVP Craig Federighi (10.3%) trail due to narrower scopes. Despite Cook's March 17 denial of imminent retirement, executive shifts and Apple's 50th anniversary events keep succession speculation alive, with no firm timeline announced.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Volume
$668,608
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo CEO da Apple?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Ternus" at 42%, followed by "Sabih Khan" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo CEO da Apple?" has generated $668.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo CEO da Apple?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo CEO da Apple?" is "John Ternus" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sabih Khan" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo CEO da Apple?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.