Meta's "Mango" AI model, a multimodal system focused on image and video generation, has not yet launched publicly as of early April 2026, driving trader caution amid reports of internal delays and performance hurdles. A March New York Times report highlighted setbacks for sister model "Avocado" from Meta's TBD Lab, originally slated for first-half 2026 alongside Mango, due to underwhelming benchmarks. Recent leaks reveal ongoing internal testing of variants like "Avocado-Mango agent" and others, signaling progress but no firm release timeline. Competitive pressures from Google's Veo and OpenAI's Sora intensify urgency, with traders eyeing Meta's Q2 earnings or developer events for announcements that could shift market-implied odds on deployment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMeta modelo "Mango" lançado pela...?
Meta modelo "Mango" lançado pela...?
$22,346 Vol.
30 de junho
30%
$22,346 Vol.
30 de junho
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's "Mango" AI model, a multimodal system focused on image and video generation, has not yet launched publicly as of early April 2026, driving trader caution amid reports of internal delays and performance hurdles. A March New York Times report highlighted setbacks for sister model "Avocado" from Meta's TBD Lab, originally slated for first-half 2026 alongside Mango, due to underwhelming benchmarks. Recent leaks reveal ongoing internal testing of variants like "Avocado-Mango agent" and others, signaling progress but no firm release timeline. Competitive pressures from Google's Veo and OpenAI's Sora intensify urgency, with traders eyeing Meta's Q2 earnings or developer events for announcements that could shift market-implied odds on deployment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions