Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between ≥3.4% (46%) and 3.3% (36%) for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year headline inflation, reflecting heightened uncertainty over energy-driven upside risks amid geopolitical tensions escalating oil prices. February's CPI held steady at 2.4% annually—core at 2.5%—in line with expectations and base effects from last year, but surging crude costs in March signal potential headline acceleration, complicating the Federal Reserve's path after its March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%. Key swing factors include final oil price settlements and shelter costs; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data April 10, with traders alert to any pre-report revisions in leading indicators like PPI.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado≥3,4% 45.8%
3,3% 36.0%
3,2% 14%
3,1% 3.1%
$860,394 Vol.
$860,394 Vol.
10 abr 2026
≤2,6%
1%
2,7%
1%
2,8%
1%
2,9%
1%
3,0%
2%
3,1%
3%
3,2%
14%
3,3%
36%
≥3,4%
46%
≥3,4% 45.8%
3,3% 36.0%
3,2% 14%
3,1% 3.1%
$860,394 Vol.
$860,394 Vol.
10 abr 2026
≤2,6%
$103,865 Vol.
1%
2,7%
$103,933 Vol.
1%
2,8%
$48,690 Vol.
1%
2,9%
$46,864 Vol.
1%
3,0%
$50,438 Vol.
2%
3,1%
$69,340 Vol.
3%
3,2%
$45,546 Vol.
14%
3,3%
$165,323 Vol.
36%
≥3,4%
$226,393 Vol.
46%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between ≥3.4% (46%) and 3.3% (36%) for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year headline inflation, reflecting heightened uncertainty over energy-driven upside risks amid geopolitical tensions escalating oil prices. February's CPI held steady at 2.4% annually—core at 2.5%—in line with expectations and base effects from last year, but surging crude costs in March signal potential headline acceleration, complicating the Federal Reserve's path after its March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%. Key swing factors include final oil price settlements and shelter costs; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data April 10, with traders alert to any pre-report revisions in leading indicators like PPI.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$860,394Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between ≥3.4% (46%) and 3.3% (36%) for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year headline inflation, reflecting heightened uncertainty over energy-driven upside risks amid geopolitical tensions escalating oil prices. February's CPI held steady at 2.4% annually—core at 2.5%—in line with expectations and base effects from last year, but surging crude costs in March signal potential headline acceleration, complicating the Federal Reserve's path after its March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%. Key swing factors include final oil price settlements and shelter costs; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data April 10, with traders alert to any pre-report revisions in leading indicators like PPI.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$860,394Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between ≥3.4% (46%) and 3.3% (36%) for March 2026 US CPI year-over-year headline inflation, reflecting heightened uncertainty over energy-driven upside risks amid geopolitical tensions escalating oil prices. February's CPI held steady at 2.4% annually—core at 2.5%—in line with expectations and base effects from last year, but surging crude costs in March signal potential headline acceleration, complicating the Federal Reserve's path after its March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%. Key swing factors include final oil price settlements and shelter costs; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data April 10, with traders alert to any pre-report revisions in leading indicators like PPI.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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