Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP a strong 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting skepticism that challenger TISZA's recent polling surge—widening to 16-23 points among decided voters in surveys from Medián and 21 Kutatkozpont released in late March—will overcome the incumbent's advantages in the mixed electoral system of 106 single-member districts and proportional list seats. Fidesz historically outperformed polls, as in 2022, bolstering its district strength despite TISZA's momentum under Péter Magyar. Other opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum trail far behind at under 0.5%, underscoring fragmented support. With nine days left, escalating campaign tensions and final voter turnout could tip the balance in this closely watched race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Fidesz-KDNP 70%
TISZA 30%
MSZP <1%
LMP <1%
$84,941 Vol.
$84,941 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
70%
TISZA
30%
MSZP
<1%
LMP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
DK
<1%
Momentum
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 70%
TISZA 30%
MSZP <1%
LMP <1%
$84,941 Vol.
$84,941 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
$16,179 Vol.
70%
TISZA
$15,038 Vol.
30%
MSZP
$13,764 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$27,148 Vol.
<1%
DK
$2,962 Vol.
<1%
Momentum
$2,271 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$2,536 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$2,447 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP a strong 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting skepticism that challenger TISZA's recent polling surge—widening to 16-23 points among decided voters in surveys from Medián and 21 Kutatkozpont released in late March—will overcome the incumbent's advantages in the mixed electoral system of 106 single-member districts and proportional list seats. Fidesz historically outperformed polls, as in 2022, bolstering its district strength despite TISZA's momentum under Péter Magyar. Other opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum trail far behind at under 0.5%, underscoring fragmented support. With nine days left, escalating campaign tensions and final voter turnout could tip the balance in this closely watched race.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$84,941Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP a strong 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting skepticism that challenger TISZA's recent polling surge—widening to 16-23 points among decided voters in surveys from Medián and 21 Kutatkozpont released in late March—will overcome the incumbent's advantages in the mixed electoral system of 106 single-member districts and proportional list seats. Fidesz historically outperformed polls, as in 2022, bolstering its district strength despite TISZA's momentum under Péter Magyar. Other opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum trail far behind at under 0.5%, underscoring fragmented support. With nine days left, escalating campaign tensions and final voter turnout could tip the balance in this closely watched race.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volume
$84,941Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP a strong 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting skepticism that challenger TISZA's recent polling surge—widening to 16-23 points among decided voters in surveys from Medián and 21 Kutatkozpont released in late March—will overcome the incumbent's advantages in the mixed electoral system of 106 single-member districts and proportional list seats. Fidesz historically outperformed polls, as in 2022, bolstering its district strength despite TISZA's momentum under Péter Magyar. Other opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum trail far behind at under 0.5%, underscoring fragmented support. With nine days left, escalating campaign tensions and final voter turnout could tip the balance in this closely watched race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions